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Vanspor FK vs Umraniyespor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig Spor Toto Akhisar Stadium, Akhisar
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vanspor FK host Umraniyespor in the 1. Lig. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Vanspor FK at 1.18 goals for, 1.64 against; Umraniyespor at 1.21 for, 1.28 against. Head-to-head, Vanspor FK have won 1 to Umraniyespor's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.50, favoring Umraniyespor. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Vanspor FK
30%
Draws
47%
Umraniyespor
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Umraniyespor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Umraniyespor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular 1. Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Umraniyespor have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Vanspor FK Clean Sheet 16%
Umraniyespor Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanspor FK Umraniyespor
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.18 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 1. Lig
Umraniyespor vs Vanspor FK
1:2
Dec 14, 2025 1. Lig
Vanspor FK vs Umraniyespor
0:1
Mar 25, 2012 3. Lig Group 1
Umraniyespor vs Vanspor FK
2:1
Dec 22, 2011 3. Lig Group 1
Vanspor FK vs Umraniyespor
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanspor FK 31 / 100
Umraniyespor 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanspor FK Umraniyespor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Umraniyespor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Umraniyespor has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Umraniyespor lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Vanspor FK found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Vanspor FK VS Umraniyespor
1 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vanspor FK

(Home)
09 Oct
Vanspor FK
0 : 2
Bandirmaspor
20 Sept
Antalyaspor
3 : 0
Vanspor FK
12 Sept
Vanspor FK
1 : 1
Keciorengucu
06 Sept
Muglaspor
2 : 2
Vanspor FK
02 Sept
Vanspor FK
0 : 2
Batman Petrolspor
Page 1 of 6

Umraniyespor

(Away)
09 Oct
Umraniyespor
1 : 1
Sariyer
18 Sept
Bandirmaspor
0 : 1
Umraniyespor
12 Sept
Umraniyespor
1 : 2
Antalyaspor
05 Sept
Pendikspor
1 : 0
Umraniyespor
01 Sept
Umraniyespor
0 : 1
Muglaspor
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kayserispor 8 6 1 1 15:3 19
2 Bursaspor 8 6 1 1 16:7 19
3 Keciorengucu 9 4 4 1 19:10 16
4 Igdir FK 8 5 1 2 12:7 16
5 Batman Petrolspor 8 5 1 2 15:13 16
6 Antalyaspor 9 5 0 4 15:13 15
7 Sariyer 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
8 Bandirmaspor 9 3 4 2 14:5 13
9 Mardin 1969 8 3 3 2 9:5 12
10 F. Karagumruk 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
11 Sivasspor 9 2 5 2 13:12 11
12 Muglaspor 8 2 5 1 8:7 11
13 Pendikspor 9 2 4 3 11:17 10
14 Manisa FK 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
15 Bodrumspor 9 1 5 3 7:8 8
16 Umraniyespor 9 1 4 4 7:10 7
17 Erokspor 8 0 5 3 4:10 5
18 Istanbulspor AS 8 1 2 5 7:19 5
19 Vanspor FK 9 1 3 5 8:19 4
20 Boluspor 9 0 1 8 3:21 1
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