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Vanuatu U23 vs Solomon Islands U23

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U23 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Solomon Islands U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Vanuatu U23
15%
Draws
0%
Solomon Islands U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vanuatu U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Vanuatu U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Vanuatu U23's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Vanuatu U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Solomon Islands U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Vanuatu U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Solomon Islands U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanuatu U23 Solomon Islands U23
Matches Played 14 16
Wins 8 6
Draws 1 0
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 5.07 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2023 OFC Championship U23
Solomon Islands U23 vs Vanuatu U23
3:0
Oct 2, 2019 OFC Championship U23
Vanuatu U23 vs Solomon Islands U23
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanuatu U23 38 / 100
Solomon Islands U23 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanuatu U23 Solomon Islands U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vanuatu U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solomon Islands U23 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Vanuatu U23's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 14 recent games.

Solomon Islands U23 has conceded goals in 69% of their last 16 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Vanuatu U23 VS Solomon Islands U23
2.5 Goals Scored 3.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vanuatu U23

(Home)
06 Sept
New Zealand U23
8 : 0
Vanuatu U23
03 Sept
Vanuatu U23
3 : 1
Samoa U23
31 Aug
Tonga U23
0 : 4
Vanuatu U23
28 Aug
Solomon Islands U23
3 : 0
Vanuatu U23
05 Oct
Fiji U23
0 : 1
Vanuatu U23
Page 1 of 3

Solomon Islands U23

(Away)
18 Dec
Solomon Islands U23
0 : 3
Fiji
15 Dec
Solomon Islands U23
1 : 3
Vanuatu
12 Dec
Solomon Islands
2 : 0
Solomon Islands U23
09 Dec
Solomon Islands U23
0 : 1
Papua New Guinea
06 Sept
Solomon Islands U23
0 : 3
Fiji U23
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
New Zealand U23 6
Fiji U23 1
Vanuatu U23 0
Solomon Islands U23 1
Final
New Zealand U23 5
Solomon Islands U23 0
Fiji U23 0
Vanuatu U23 1