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Vanuatu vs Fiji

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Kaltack K.
62' Event
Iawak K.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Vanuatu in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vanuatu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vanuatu
35%
Draws
25%
Fiji
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vanuatu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Vanuatu haven't matched Fiji's recent run of results.
  • Vanuatu are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Vanuatu Clean Sheet 20%
Fiji Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanuatu Fiji
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 4 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.44 1.69
Goals Conceded 2.26 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Friendly International
Fiji vs Vanuatu
0:1
Jun 9, 2026 Friendly International
Vanuatu vs Fiji
2:2
Jun 6, 2026 Friendly International
Vanuatu vs Fiji
2:1
Nov 17, 2025 Friendly International
Vanuatu vs Fiji
2:0
Dec 12, 2024 Friendly International
Fiji vs Vanuatu
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanuatu Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaltack K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Fiji Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanuatu 58 / 100
Fiji 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanuatu Fiji

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vanuatu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vanuatu scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Fiji let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Vanuatu has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vanuatu VS Fiji
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vanuatu

(Home)
27 Sept
Vanuatu
4 : 1
New Caledonia
24 Sept
Solomon Islands
3 : 3
Vanuatu
21 Sept
Fiji
0 : 1
Vanuatu
18 Sept
Papua New Guinea
2 : 1
Vanuatu
09 Jun
Vanuatu
2 : 2
Fiji
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Fiji

(Away)
27 Sept
Fiji
2 : 0
Papua New Guinea
21 Sept
Fiji
0 : 1
Vanuatu
18 Sept
Fiji
3 : 3
Solomon Islands
09 Jun
Vanuatu
2 : 2
Fiji
06 Jun
Vanuatu
2 : 1
Fiji
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