Sport Picks
Vanuatu vs New Caledonia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
AI Match Summary
Vanuatu host New Caledonia in the Friendly International 2024. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. New Caledonia have shipped 1.42 goals a game lately, while Vanuatu have conceded 2.28 and scored 1.34. Head-to-head, Vanuatu have won 1 to New Caledonia's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Sep 27, 2026, ending 4:1. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.00, favoring New Caledonia. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and New Caledonia come out ahead of Vanuatu on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Vanuatu's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vanuatu | New Caledonia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 24 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 15 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 2.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.28 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vanuatu scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
New Caledonia let in goals in 63% of their last 24 matches.
Solid form: Vanuatu remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Difficult form: New Caledonia registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.