Sport Picks

Australia & Oceania

OFC Nations Cup Women

Vanuatu W

1 - 0

Fiji W

Our Tip

Match Events

19'

Tabua J.

32'

Simon L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vanuatu W in this OFC Nations Cup Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vanuatu W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Vanuatu W

39%

Draws

30%

Fiji W

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Fiji W have won more games recently than Vanuatu W.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
Cup games in OFC Nations Cup Women usually bring a different intensity than the league.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Fiji W here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%

Vanuatu W Clean Sheet 14%

Fiji W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vanuatu W	Fiji W
Matches Played	27	41
Wins	7	26
Draws	3	3
Losses	17	12
Goals Scored	1	1.25
Goals Conceded	2	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2026 World Cup Women

Vanuatu W vs Fiji W

Possession: 59% - 52% Cards: 1 - 4

0:1

Nov 20, 2025 Friendly International Women

Fiji W vs Vanuatu W

Possession: 60% - 57% Cards: 1 - 1

3:1

Jul 11, 2025 OFC Nations Cup Women

Vanuatu W vs Fiji W

Possession: 47% - 58% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Nov 21, 2023 Pacific Games Women

Fiji W vs Vanuatu W

Possession: 43% - 54% Cards: 3 - 2

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanuatu W Compare

Top Goalscorer Simon L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Fiji W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanuatu W 31 / 100

Fiji W 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vanuatu W Fiji W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FIJ Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fiji W has conceded goals in 73% of their last 41 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Fiji W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Vanuatu W scored in 59% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

Vanuatu W VS Fiji W

1 Goals Scored 1.25

2 Goals Conceded 1.5

63% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Papua New Guinea W	3	2	1	0	11:2	7
2	Samoa W	3	2	0	1	7:3	6
3	Tahiti W	3	0	2	1	3:5	2
4	Cook Islands W	3	0	1	2	1:12	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Solomon Islands W	3	2	1	9:4	6
2	Fiji W	3	2	1	6:3	6
3	Vanuatu W	3	2	1	5:2	6
4	Tonga W	3	0	3	0:11	0