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Vanuatu W vs Solomon Islands W Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Nations Cup Women
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Moffat Pegi I.
(Penalty)
57' Event
Arukau M.
68' Event
Sangul H.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Vanuatu W
20%
Draws
33%
Solomon Islands W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vanuatu W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Solomon Islands W have won more games recently than Vanuatu W.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Vanuatu W taking it.
  • Solomon Islands W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Solomon Islands W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Vanuatu W Clean Sheet 68%
Solomon Islands W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vanuatu W Solomon Islands W
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 2 2
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.12 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.08 2.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Friendly International Women
Solomon Islands W vs Vanuatu W
1:1
Nov 22, 2025 Friendly International Women
Solomon Islands W vs Vanuatu W
2:4
Jul 8, 2025 OFC Nations Cup Women
Vanuatu W vs Solomon Islands W
1:2
Feb 25, 2025 Friendly International Women
Solomon Islands W vs Vanuatu W
0:1
Dec 1, 2023 Pacific Games Women
Solomon Islands W vs Vanuatu W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vanuatu W Compare

Top Goalscorer Simon L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Solomon Islands W Compare

Top Goalscorer Arukau M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vanuatu W 95 / 100
Solomon Islands W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vanuatu W Solomon Islands W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vanuatu W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vanuatu W scored in 62% of their last 26 outings.

Solomon Islands W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Vanuatu W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vanuatu W VS Solomon Islands W
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vanuatu W

(Home)
03 Oct
Papua New Guinea W
1 : 2
Vanuatu W
26 Sept
Papua New Guinea W
2 : 0
Vanuatu W
23 Sept
Vanuatu W
5 : 0
New Caledonia W
20 Sept
Fiji W
0 : 1
Vanuatu W
17 Sept
Solomon Islands W
1 : 1
Vanuatu W
Page 1 of 6

Solomon Islands W

(Away)
29 Sept
Papua New Guinea W
5 : 1
Solomon Islands W
26 Sept
New Caledonia W
0 : 1
Solomon Islands W
23 Sept
Fiji W
0 : 1
Solomon Islands W
17 Sept
Solomon Islands W
1 : 1
Vanuatu W
05 Mar
Samoa W
2 : 1
Solomon Islands W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Papua New Guinea W 3 2 1 0 11:2 7
2 Samoa W 3 2 0 1 7:3 6
3 Tahiti W 3 0 2 1 3:5 2
4 Cook Islands W 3 0 1 2 1:12 1
Promotion - OFC Nations Cup Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - OFC Nations Cup Women (5th-8th places)
Relegation - OFC Nations Cup Women (5th-8th places)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Solomon Islands W 3 2 0 1 9:4 6
2 Fiji W 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Vanuatu W 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
4 Tonga W 3 0 0 3 0:11 0
Promotion - OFC Nations Cup Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - OFC Nations Cup Women (5th-8th places)
Relegation - OFC Nations Cup Women (5th-8th places)