Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Varazdin vs Kustosija

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

81' Event
Benko T.
86' Event
Garces B.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Varazdin and Kustosija finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Varazdin
15%
Draws
37%
Kustosija
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Varazdin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Varazdin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Varazdin's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Varazdin Clean Sheet 20%
Kustosija Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varazdin Kustosija
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 16 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.55 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Club Friendly
Varazdin vs Kustosija
3:1
Feb 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Varazdin vs Kustosija
1:1
Mar 5, 2022 Prva NL
Kustosija vs Varazdin
0:2
Sep 11, 2021 Prva NL
Varazdin vs Kustosija
3:3
Mar 30, 2019 Prva NL
Varazdin vs Kustosija
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varazdin Compare

Top Goalscorer Benko T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Kustosija Compare

Top Goalscorer Garces B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varazdin 58 / 100
Kustosija 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varazdin Kustosija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varazdin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varazdin scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Varazdin went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Kustosija conceded in 59% of 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Varazdin VS Kustosija
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Varazdin

(Home)
22 Aug
Din. Zagreb
3 : 1
Varazdin
16 Aug
Varazdin
2 : 0
Rijeka
09 Aug
Slaven Belupo
1 : 4
Varazdin
02 Aug
Varazdin
2 : 1
Hajduk Split
30 Jul
Jablonec
2 : 0
Varazdin
Page 1 of 6

Kustosija

(Away)
22 Aug
Dugopolje
1 : 1
Kustosija
29 Jul
Kustosija
1 : 2
Karlovac
25 Jul
Dubrava Zagreb
0 : 1
Kustosija
22 Jul
Kustosija
4 : 1
NK Krka
16 Jul
Varazdin
3 : 1
Kustosija
Page 1 of 6