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Varazdin vs Lok. Zagreb - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup Stadion Varteks, Varaždin
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Croatian Cup. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Varazdin at 1.58 goals for, 0.88 against; Lok. Zagreb at 1.48 for, 1.11 against. Head-to-head, Varazdin have won 2 to Lok. Zagreb's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Oct 11, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.50 - 0.88) back Varazdin to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Varazdin
35%
Draws
35%
Lok. Zagreb
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Varazdin lately — more wins on the board than Lok. Zagreb.
  • Varazdin are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Varazdin have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Varazdin, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Varazdin Clean Sheet 20%
Lok. Zagreb Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varazdin Lok. Zagreb
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 15 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.58 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 HNL
Lok. Zagreb vs Varazdin
0:1
Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Lok. Zagreb vs Varazdin
2:1
May 9, 2026 HNL
Varazdin vs Lok. Zagreb
1:1
Mar 7, 2026 HNL
Lok. Zagreb vs Varazdin
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 HNL
Varazdin vs Lok. Zagreb
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varazdin 42 / 100
Lok. Zagreb 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varazdin Lok. Zagreb

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varazdin found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (26 games).

Lok. Zagreb has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Varazdin went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Varazdin VS Lok. Zagreb
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Varazdin

(Home)
18 Oct
Hajduk Split
1 : 0
Varazdin
11 Oct
Lok. Zagreb
0 : 1
Varazdin
02 Oct
Aluminij
0 : 0
Varazdin
19 Sept
Varazdin
0 : 0
Osijek
14 Sept
HNK Gorica
2 : 2
Varazdin
Page 1 of 6

Lok. Zagreb

(Away)
17 Oct
Lok. Zagreb
2 : 0
Istra 1961
11 Oct
Lok. Zagreb
0 : 1
Varazdin
20 Sept
Din. Zagreb
3 : 2
Lok. Zagreb
12 Sept
Lok. Zagreb
1 : 1
Rijeka
09 Sept
Tomislav DA
0 : 2
Lok. Zagreb
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Bjelovar -
TBD -
Tigar Sveta Nedelja 1
Karlovac 4
Vrbovec 4
Daruvar 1
TBD -
Rijeka -
Vukovar 1991 4
NK Radnicki Dalj 1
TBD -
Cibalia -
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 2
Bedem Ivankovo 3
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Slavonija Pozega 3
Moslavina 0
TBD -
Oriolik -
Vardarac Vardaroc 3
Liznjan 1
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Orijent 3
Radnik Krizevci 1
TBD -
Mladost Zdralovi -
NK Dinamo Predavac 0
Dragovoljac 2
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
Kustosija 3
HNK Zadar 1
TBD -
Bijelo Brdo -
Uskok Klis 3
Podravina Ludbreg 0
TBD -
HNK Gorica -
NK Svacic Stari Slatnik 2
NK Koprivnica 3
TBD -
Rudes -
Slatina 0
Segesta 18
TBD -
Osijek -
Zagora 4
Bratstvo Jurovec 2
TBD -
Varazdin -
Tomislav DA 4
Uljanik Pula 0
TBD -
Lok. Zagreb -
Granicar Kotoriba 1
Zagorec Krapina 2
TBD -
Istra 1961 -
Neretva 5
Otocac 2
TBD -
TBD -
1/16-finals
Bjelovar 0
Karlovac 2
Vrbovec 0
Rijeka 6
Vukovar 1991 1
Cibalia 0
Bedem Ivankovo 0
Din. Zagreb 4
Slavonija Pozega 4
Oriolik 0
Vardarac Vardaroc 0
Hajduk Split 2
Orijent 2
Mladost Zdralovi 3
Dragovoljac 0
Slaven Belupo 5
Kustosija 1
Bijelo Brdo 2
Uskok Klis 1
HNK Gorica 3
NK Koprivnica 2
Rudes 3
Segesta 3
Osijek 1
Zagora 0
Varazdin 4
Tomislav DA 0
Lok. Zagreb 2
Zagorec Krapina 0
Istra 1961 5
Neretva -
TBD -
1/8-finals
Karlovac 1
Rijeka 4
Vukovar 1991 0
Din. Zagreb 4
Slavonija Pozega -
Hajduk Split -
Mladost Zdralovi -
Slaven Belupo -
Bijelo Brdo -
HNK Gorica -
Rudes -
Segesta -
Varazdin -
Lok. Zagreb -
Istra 1961 -
Neretva -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -