Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Hasic E.
38'
38'
Jakupovic A.
58'
58'
Duvnjak T.
AI Match Summary
Varazdin in this Croatian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Varazdin
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Osijek haven't matched Varazdin's recent run of results.
- Varazdin are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Varazdin have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Varazdin, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Varazdin Clean Sheet 18%
Osijek Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Varazdin | Osijek |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 13 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 17, 2026 HNL
Osijek vs Varazdin
0:2
Feb 8, 2026 HNL
Varazdin vs Osijek
2:1
Dec 3, 2025 Croatian Cup
Varazdin vs Osijek
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 HNL
Osijek vs Varazdin
0:0
Aug 17, 2025 HNL
Varazdin vs Osijek
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Varazdin Compare
Top Goalscorer Duvnjak T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Osijek Compare
Top Goalscorer Jakupovic A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Varazdin 41 / 100
Osijek 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Varazdin Osijek
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Varazdin scored in 96% of their last 27 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Varazdin has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Osijek's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Varazdin VS Osijek
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Varazdin
(Home) 22 Aug
Din. Zagreb
3 : 1 Varazdin
16 Aug
Varazdin
2 : 0 Rijeka
09 Aug
Slaven Belupo
1 : 4 Varazdin
02 Aug
Varazdin
2 : 1 Hajduk Split
30 Jul
Jablonec
2 : 0 Varazdin
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16 Aug
Varazdin
2 : 0 Rijeka
02 Aug
Varazdin
2 : 1 Hajduk Split
23 Jul
Varazdin
3 : 2 Jablonec
16 Jul
Varazdin
2 : 0 Beltinci
16 Jul
Varazdin
3 : 1 Kustosija
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Osijek
(Away) 23 Aug
Hajduk Split
4 : 0 Osijek
15 Aug
Osijek
1 : 0 Lok. Zagreb
08 Aug
Rudes
1 : 6 Osijek
01 Aug
HNK Gorica
0 : 2 Osijek
25 Jul
Osijek
1 : 3 Rizespor
Page 1 of 6
23 Aug
Hajduk Split
4 : 0 Osijek
08 Aug
Rudes
1 : 6 Osijek
01 Aug
HNK Gorica
0 : 2 Osijek
13 Jul
Neftci Baku
0 : 1 Osijek
16 May
HNK Gorica
2 : 0 Osijek
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Radnik Krizevci 5
Drnis 0
TBD -
Mladost Zdralovi -
Maksimir 3
Jadran Porec 2
TBD -
Rijeka -
Nehaj Senj 1
Vukovar 1991 2
TBD -
Cibalia -
NK Koprivnica 1
Pitomaca 0
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Slavonija Pozega 1
Marsonia 0
TBD -
Bijelo Brdo -
NK Radnicki Dalj 0
Granicar Kotoriba 2
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
Jedinstvo (DM) 0
Dugo Selo 3
TBD -
Lok. Zagreb -
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 3
Moslavina 0
TBD -
Sibenik -
Spansko 0
Gaj Mace 1
TBD -
Varazdin -
Uljanik Pula 2
Bjelovar 0
TBD -
Osijek -
Belica 1
Solin 4
TBD -
Rudes -
NK Libertas Novska 2
Opatija 1
TBD -
HNK Gorica -
Bednja Beletinec 1
Karlovac 4
TBD -
Belisce -
Bedem Ivankovo 3
NK Dinamo Predavac 5
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Zemunik 2
Kurilovec 12
TBD -
Oriolik -
Neretva 6
Zadrugar Oprisavci 2
TBD -
Istra 1961 -
1/16-finals
Radnik Krizevci 0
Mladost Zdralovi 1
Maksimir 0
Rijeka 4
Vukovar 1991 0
Cibalia 1
NK Koprivnica 1
Hajduk Split 4
Slavonija Pozega 0
Bijelo Brdo 2
Granicar Kotoriba 0
Slaven Belupo 5
Dugo Selo 0
Lok. Zagreb 4
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 4
Sibenik 1
Gaj Mace 1
Varazdin 7
Uljanik Pula 0
Osijek 4
Solin 1
Rudes 2
NK Libertas Novska 1
HNK Gorica 3
Karlovac 5
Belisce 0
NK Dinamo Predavac 0
Din. Zagreb 6
Kurilovec 5
Oriolik 0
Neretva 1
Istra 1961 2
1/8-finals
Mladost Zdralovi 1
Rijeka 4
Cibalia 0
Hajduk Split 1
Bijelo Brdo 0
Slaven Belupo 3
Lok. Zagreb 4
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 0
Varazdin 2
Osijek 1
Rudes 0
HNK Gorica 6
Karlovac 0
Din. Zagreb 7
Kurilovec 2
Istra 1961 1
Quarter-finals
Rijeka 3
Hajduk Split 2
Slaven Belupo 2
Lok. Zagreb 1
Varazdin 1
HNK Gorica 3
Din. Zagreb 2
Kurilovec 0
Semi-finals
Rijeka 2
Slaven Belupo 0
HNK Gorica 3
Din. Zagreb 6
Final
Rijeka 0
Din. Zagreb 2
