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Varberg vs Ljungskile - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Paskbergsvallen, Varberg
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Varberg host Ljungskile in the Superettan. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Varberg at 1.89 goals for, 1.19 against; Ljungskile at 1.24 for, 1.38 against. Head-to-head, Varberg have won 3 to Ljungskile's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 1:3. xG projections (1.31 - 1.19) back Varberg to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Varberg
35%
Draws
25%
Ljungskile
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Varberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Varberg have won more games recently than Ljungskile.
  • Varberg are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Varberg Clean Sheet 20%
Ljungskile Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varberg Ljungskile
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.89 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Superettan
Ljungskile vs Varberg
1:3
Mar 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Varberg vs Ljungskile
0:2
Aug 31, 2022 Svenska Cupen
Ljungskile vs Varberg
0:4
Mar 12, 2020 Club Friendly
Varberg vs Ljungskile
0:0
Oct 29, 2016 Superettan
Varberg vs Ljungskile
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varberg 40 / 100
Ljungskile 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varberg Ljungskile

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ljungskile conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Varberg's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Varberg went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Varberg VS Ljungskile
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Varberg

(Home)
19 Oct
Varberg
0 : 0
Helsingborg
10 Oct
Ostersund
1 : 1
Varberg
19 Sept
Varberg
3 : 2
Brage
14 Sept
Norrby
1 : 2
Varberg
10 Sept
Varberg
0 : 2
Norrkoping
Page 1 of 6

Ljungskile

(Away)
25 Oct
Helsingborg
1 : 1
Ljungskile
17 Oct
Ljungskile
2 : 0
Brage
11 Oct
Orebro
1 : 1
Ljungskile
20 Sept
Sundsvall
3 : 2
Ljungskile
13 Sept
Ljungskile
0 : 2
Falkenberg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 27 18 5 4 54:18 59
2 Falkenberg 27 15 6 6 52:37 51
3 Ostersund 28 12 12 4 38:26 48
4 Varberg 27 13 7 7 45:34 46
5 Landskrona 27 12 7 8 45:32 43
6 Oddevold 28 11 9 8 48:37 42
7 Oster 28 13 3 12 46:45 42
8 Sandviken 28 11 8 9 46:36 41
9 Nordic United 28 10 9 9 41:47 39
10 Varnamo 28 9 5 14 35:48 32
11 Helsingborg 27 8 7 12 36:47 31
12 Ljungskile 27 7 8 12 34:39 29
13 Norrby 27 5 12 10 31:37 27
14 Brage 28 6 8 14 45:55 26
15 Orebro 27 5 11 11 30:42 26
16 Sundsvall 28 6 1 21 19:65 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)