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Varberg vs Norrby

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Liimatainen K.
28' Event
Abdulazeez Y.
50' Event
Werner O.

AI Match Summary

Varberg in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Varberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Varberg
20%
Draws
40%
Norrby
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Varberg lately — more wins on the board than Norrby.
  • Model gives Varberg a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Varberg have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Varberg Clean Sheet 16%
Norrby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varberg Norrby
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 7
Draws 4 12
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.83 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Varberg vs Norrby
4:2
Jun 10, 2026 Superettan
Varberg vs Norrby
2:0
Mar 25, 2023 Club Friendly
Varberg vs Norrby
3:2
Jun 16, 2022 Club Friendly
Varberg vs Norrby
1:1
Mar 26, 2022 Club Friendly
Norrby vs Varberg
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Werner O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Arlig W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Norrby Compare

Top Goalscorer Liimatainen K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abdulazeez Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varberg 57 / 100
Norrby 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varberg Norrby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Norrby has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Varberg scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Varberg remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Varberg VS Norrby
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Varberg

(Home)
30 Aug
Varberg
3 : 1
Oddevold
25 Aug
Orebro
2 : 1
Varberg
18 Aug
Boljan
0 : 5
Varberg
15 Aug
Nordic United
0 : 0
Varberg
09 Aug
Varberg
0 : 1
Sandviken
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Norrby

(Away)
31 Aug
Sundsvall
1 : 0
Norrby
26 Aug
Dalstorps
0 : 2
Norrby
23 Aug
Norrby
1 : 1
Sandviken
15 Aug
Falkenberg
2 : 0
Norrby
10 Aug
Norrby
3 : 1
Orebro
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