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Varberg vs Orebro

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Paskbergsvallen, Varberg
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Yakoub A.
45'
Sub
Hellman E. In: Dahlstrom N.
Out: Hellman E.
45'
Sub
Silverholt O. In: Lindner J.
Out: Silverholt O.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Superettan matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Varberg
33%
Draws
27%
Orebro
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Varberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Varberg lately — more wins on the board than Orebro.
  • Model gives Varberg a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Varberg Clean Sheet 68%
Orebro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varberg Orebro
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 15 8
Draws 4 9
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 2.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Superettan
Varberg vs Orebro
0:0
Sep 24, 2025 Superettan
Orebro vs Varberg
1:1
Apr 7, 2025 Superettan
Varberg vs Orebro
2:1
Oct 5, 2024 Superettan
Varberg vs Orebro
1:1
Apr 22, 2024 Superettan
Orebro vs Varberg
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varberg 50 / 100
Orebro 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varberg Orebro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Varberg scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Orebro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Varberg has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Varberg VS Orebro
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Varberg

(Home)
27 Jul
Oster
3 : 0
Varberg
18 Jul
Oddevold
2 : 4
Varberg
11 Jul
Varberg
4 : 2
Norrby
27 Jun
Varberg
2 : 1
Oster
22 Jun
Varberg
2 : 3
Landskrona
Page 1 of 6

Orebro

(Away)
27 Jul
Orebro
0 : 0
Oddevold
19 Jul
Nordic United
2 : 0
Orebro
11 Jul
Ostersund
2 : 4
Orebro
27 Jun
Ljungskile
3 : 2
Orebro
22 Jun
Orebro
1 : 1
Sandviken
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Falkenberg1694332:2431
2Varberg1693432:2230
3Norrkoping1592426:1029
4Ostersund1675426:2126
5Oster1682627:2526
6Landskrona1574422:1625
7Nordic United1574425:2225
8Helsingborg1572629:3123
9Ljungskile1664623:2122
10Oddevold1656528:2621
11Sandviken1654725:2519
12Norrby1639421:2318
13Brage1645728:2917
14Orebro1636713:2215
15Varnamo16321117:3411
16Sundsvall16301313:369
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)