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Varberg vs Orebro

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Paskbergsvallen, Varberg
Varberg Logo

Varberg

0 - 0
FT
Orebro Logo

Orebro

Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Yakoub A.
45'
Sub
Hellman E. In: Dahlstrom N.
Out: Hellman E.
45'
Sub
Silverholt O. In: Lindner J.
Out: Silverholt O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Superettan matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Varberg
15%
Draws
21%
Orebro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Varberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Varberg lately — more wins on the board than Orebro.
  • Model gives Varberg a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Varberg Clean Sheet 68%
Orebro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varberg Orebro
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 16 8
Draws 4 8
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Superettan
Varberg vs Orebro
0:0
Sep 24, 2025 Superettan
Orebro vs Varberg
1:1
Apr 7, 2025 Superettan
Varberg vs Orebro
2:1
Oct 5, 2024 Superettan
Varberg vs Orebro
1:1
Apr 22, 2024 Superettan
Orebro vs Varberg
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varberg 68 / 100
Orebro 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varberg Orebro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Varberg scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Orebro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Varberg has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Varberg VS Orebro
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Varberg

(Home)
01 Aug
Varberg
2 : 1
Falkenberg
27 Jul
Oster
3 : 0
Varberg
18 Jul
Oddevold
2 : 4
Varberg
11 Jul
Varberg
4 : 2
Norrby
27 Jun
Varberg
2 : 1
Oster
Page 1 of 6

Orebro

(Away)
03 Aug
Orebro
1 : 3
Varnamo
27 Jul
Orebro
0 : 0
Oddevold
19 Jul
Nordic United
2 : 0
Orebro
11 Jul
Ostersund
2 : 4
Orebro
27 Jun
Ljungskile
3 : 2
Orebro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 17 11 2 4 29:10 35
2 Varberg 17 10 3 4 34:23 33
3 Ostersund 18 9 5 4 28:21 32
4 Falkenberg 17 9 4 4 33:26 31
5 Nordic United 17 7 6 4 28:25 27
6 Oster 17 8 2 7 27:26 26
7 Sandviken 17 7 4 6 32:23 25
8 Landskrona 17 7 4 6 23:19 25
9 Helsingborg 17 7 3 7 30:34 24
10 Oddevold 17 5 7 5 28:26 22
11 Brage 17 5 5 7 30:30 20
12 Ljungskile 17 5 5 7 23:25 20
13 Norrby 17 3 10 4 21:23 19
14 Orebro 17 3 6 8 14:25 15
15 Varnamo 17 4 2 11 20:35 14
16 Sundsvall 18 3 0 15 13:42 9
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)