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Stadium Background

Varbergs GIF vs Frolunda

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Johansson L.
77' Event
Shamoun I.
90' Event
Larsson Ajayi K.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025 game between Varbergs GIF and Frolunda finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Frolunda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Varbergs GIF
22%
Draws
60%
Frolunda
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Frolunda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Frolunda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Frolunda's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Varbergs GIF Clean Sheet 17%
Frolunda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varbergs GIF Frolunda
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 17
Draws 2 6
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 3 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Varbergs GIF vs Frolunda
1:2
Apr 17, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Frolunda vs Varbergs GIF
3:1
Sep 22, 2024 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Frolunda vs Varbergs GIF
2:2
May 30, 2024 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Varbergs GIF vs Frolunda
0:0
Sep 9, 2023 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Varbergs GIF vs Frolunda
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varbergs GIF Compare

Top Goalscorer Johansson L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Frolunda Compare

Top Goalscorer Shamoun I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Larsson Ajayi K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varbergs GIF 20 / 100
Frolunda 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varbergs GIF Frolunda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Frolunda has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Varbergs GIF found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Varbergs GIF stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Varbergs GIF VS Frolunda
3 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Laholms26193469:3360
2Tvaaker26176370:2457
3Astorps26136743:3245
4Onsala26135864:4144
5Frolunda261331050:5042
6Lindome261321163:5441
7Qviding261151057:4838
8Jonsereds26108848:4838
9BK Astrio261061055:4436
10Landvetter261031347:5533
11Hestrafors26681240:4826
12Boljan26651533:5923
13Varbergs GIF26711829:5822
14Bergdalens IK26232125:999