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Vardar Negotino vs FK Skopje

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 2. MFL 2025/2026 game between Vardar Negotino and FK Skopje finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Skopje.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Vardar Negotino
6%
Draws
90%
FK Skopje
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FK Skopje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FK Skopje come out ahead of Vardar Negotino on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on FK Skopje taking it.
  • Regular 2. MFL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FK Skopje here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Vardar Negotino Clean Sheet 10%
FK Skopje Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vardar Negotino FK Skopje
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 23
Draws 4 1
Losses 20 5
Goals Scored 1.5 2.5
Goals Conceded 3.38 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.38 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 2. MFL
Vardar Negotino vs FK Skopje
0:2
Oct 4, 2025 2. MFL
FK Skopje vs Vardar Negotino
4:1
Mar 1, 2025 2. MFL
Vardar Negotino vs FK Skopje
2:0
Sep 1, 2024 2. MFL
FK Skopje vs Vardar Negotino
2:1
Mar 9, 2024 2. MFL
FK Skopje vs Vardar Negotino
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vardar Negotino 10 / 100
FK Skopje 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vardar Negotino FK Skopje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SKO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vardar Negotino scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

FK Skopje has conceded goals in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Vardar Negotino has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vardar Negotino VS FK Skopje
1.5 Goals Scored 2.5
3.38 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vardar Negotino

(Home)
23 May
Vardar Negotino
0 : 5
Kozuf Gevgelija
16 May
Pobeda
3 : 5
Vardar Negotino
10 May
Vardar Negotino
0 : 4
Osogovo
02 May
Shkendija Haracine
8 : 2
Vardar Negotino
25 Apr
Vardar Negotino
1 : 4
Belasica Strumica
Page 1 of 6

FK Skopje

(Away)
26 Jul
Shkendija Tetovo
3 : 0
FK Skopje
19 Jul
FK Skopje
2 : 1
Arsimi
31 May
Brera Strumica
0 : 1
FK Skopje
23 May
FK Skopje
5 : 1
Detonit Plackovica
16 May
Golemo Konjari
1 : 6
FK Skopje
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bregalnica Stip30225372:1771
2FK Skopje30232572:2071
3Shkendija Haracine30216367:1969
4Ohrid30215478:1768
5Belasica Strumica30184857:2158
6Osogovo30166853:2754
7Novaci30156947:3151
8Detonit Plackovica30147952:2849
9Kozuf Gevgelija30129950:2645
10Teteks301331456:4442
11Kamenica Sasa30991247:5336
12Vardar Negotino30642037:9522
13Sloga Vinica30432331:8415
14Prespa30502530:7615
15Pobeda30322519:11711
16Golemo Konjari30212717:1107
Promotion - 1. MFL (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)