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Vardar Negotino vs Prespa

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 2. MFL 2025/2026 game between Vardar Negotino and Prespa finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vardar Negotino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Vardar Negotino
39%
Draws
30%
Prespa
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Vardar Negotino's 0.88 goals per match outpaces what Prespa have produced (0.38).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular 2. MFL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Vardar Negotino Clean Sheet 10%
Prespa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vardar Negotino Prespa
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 5
Draws 4 0
Losses 20 25
Goals Scored 0.88 0.38
Goals Conceded 3.5 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.50 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 2. MFL
Vardar Negotino vs Prespa
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 2. MFL
Prespa vs Vardar Negotino
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vardar Negotino 30 / 100
Prespa 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vardar Negotino Prespa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PRE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Prespa let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Vardar Negotino found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Prespa's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vardar Negotino VS Prespa
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
3.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bregalnica Stip30225372:1771
2FK Skopje30232572:2071
3Shkendija Haracine30216367:1969
4Ohrid30215478:1768
5Belasica Strumica30184857:2158
6Osogovo30166853:2754
7Novaci30156947:3151
8Detonit Plackovica30147952:2849
9Kozuf Gevgelija30129950:2645
10Teteks301331456:4442
11Kamenica Sasa30991247:5336
12Vardar Negotino30642037:9522
13Sloga Vinica30432331:8415
14Prespa30502530:7615
15Pobeda30322519:11711
16Golemo Konjari30212717:1107