Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vardar Negotino vs Prespa

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 2. MFL 2025/2026 game between Vardar Negotino and Prespa finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vardar Negotino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Vardar Negotino
15%
Draws
42%
Prespa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vardar Negotino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Vardar Negotino's 1.17 goals per match outpaces what Prespa have produced (1).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular 2. MFL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Vardar Negotino Clean Sheet 10%
Prespa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vardar Negotino Prespa
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 5
Draws 4 0
Losses 20 25
Goals Scored 1.17 1
Goals Conceded 3.48 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 2. MFL
Vardar Negotino vs Prespa
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 2. MFL
Prespa vs Vardar Negotino
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vardar Negotino 30 / 100
Prespa 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vardar Negotino Prespa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Prespa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Prespa let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Vardar Negotino found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Prespa's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vardar Negotino VS Prespa
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
3.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vardar Negotino

(Home)
23 May
Vardar Negotino
0 : 5
Kozuf Gevgelija
16 May
Pobeda
3 : 5
Vardar Negotino
10 May
Vardar Negotino
0 : 4
Osogovo
02 May
Shkendija Haracine
8 : 2
Vardar Negotino
25 Apr
Vardar Negotino
1 : 4
Belasica Strumica
Page 1 of 6

Prespa

(Away)
23 May
Prespa
1 : 3
Belasica Strumica
16 May
Sloga Vinica
3 : 2
Prespa
10 May
Prespa
0 : 3
Detonit Plackovica
03 May
Golemo Konjari
0 : 1
Prespa
25 Apr
Prespa
0 : 2
FK Skopje
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bregalnica Stip 30 22 5 3 72:17 71
2 FK Skopje 30 23 2 5 72:20 71
3 Shkendija Haracine 30 21 6 3 67:19 69
4 Ohrid 30 21 5 4 78:17 68
5 Belasica Strumica 30 18 4 8 57:21 58
6 Osogovo 30 16 6 8 53:27 54
7 Novaci 30 15 6 9 47:31 51
8 Detonit Plackovica 30 14 7 9 52:28 49
9 Kozuf Gevgelija 30 12 9 9 50:26 45
10 Teteks 30 13 3 14 56:44 42
11 Kamenica Sasa 30 9 9 12 47:53 36
12 Vardar Negotino 30 6 4 20 37:95 22
13 Sloga Vinica 30 4 3 23 31:84 15
14 Prespa 30 5 0 25 30:76 15
15 Pobeda 30 3 2 25 19:117 11
16 Golemo Konjari 30 2 1 27 17:110 7
Promotion - 1. MFL (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)