Sport Picks
Match Events
60'
60'
Sub
Todorovski D. In: Bosancic N.
Out: Todorovski D.
60'
60'
Sub
Castaneda D. In: Torres J.
Out: Castaneda D.
60'
60'
Sub
Babunski D. In: Zakaric G.
Out: Babunski D.
AI Match Summary
Vardar in this 1. MFL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vardar.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brera Strumica
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Vardar have won more games recently than Brera Strumica.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular 1. MFL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Vardar Clean Sheet 15%
Brera Strumica Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vardar | Brera Strumica |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 7 |
| Draws | 3 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 1.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.96 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 14, 2026 1. MFL
Vardar vs Brera Strumica
1:0
Nov 22, 2025 1. MFL
Brera Strumica vs Vardar
0:2
Aug 22, 2025 1. MFL
Vardar vs Brera Strumica
2:2
Apr 23, 2025 Macedonian Cup
Brera Strumica vs Vardar
1:1
Apr 9, 2025 Macedonian Cup
Vardar vs Brera Strumica
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vardar 31 / 100
Brera Strumica 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vardar Brera Strumica
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Vardar scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Defensive concern: Brera Strumica conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Brera Strumica lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Vardar VS Brera Strumica
1.63 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Vardar
(Home) 16 Aug
Struga
1 : 0 Vardar
09 Aug
Vardar
0 : 2 Shkendija Tetovo
28 Jul
Riga FC
5 : 2 Vardar
25 Jul
Vardar
2 : 0 Bregalnica Stip
22 Jul
Vardar
2 : 3 Riga FC
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
Vardar
0 : 2 Shkendija Tetovo
25 Jul
Vardar
2 : 0 Bregalnica Stip
22 Jul
Vardar
2 : 3 Riga FC
07 Jul
Vardar
0 : 2 KuPS
23 May
Vardar
3 : 0 Shkendija Tetovo
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Brera Strumica
(Away) 22 Aug
Pelister
0 : 0 Brera Strumica
15 Aug
Brera Strumica
2 : 0 Gorno Lisice
31 Jul
Teteks
2 : 0 Brera Strumica
25 Jul
Ferizaj
2 : 0 Brera Strumica
18 Jul
Rabotnicki
1 : 0 Brera Strumica
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22 Aug
Pelister
0 : 0 Brera Strumica
31 Jul
Teteks
2 : 0 Brera Strumica
25 Jul
Ferizaj
2 : 0 Brera Strumica
18 Jul
Rabotnicki
1 : 0 Brera Strumica
15 May
Shkendija Tetovo
2 : 1 Brera Strumica
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vardar | 33 | 26 | 5 | 2 | 80:21 | 83 |
| 2 | Shkendija Tetovo | 33 | 23 | 5 | 5 | 67:30 | 74 |
| 3 | Struga | 33 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 68:28 | 62 |
| 4 | Sileks | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 59:36 | 53 |
| 5 | Tikves | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 59:47 | 48 |
| 6 | Arsimi | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 50:53 | 46 |
| 7 | Bashkimi | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 40:54 | 42 |
| 8 | Pelister | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 41:42 | 40 |
| 9 | Brera Strumica | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 46:56 | 40 |
| 10 | Makedonija GP | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 42:57 | 34 |
| 11 | Rabotnicki | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 45:58 | 33 |
| 12 | Shkupi | 33 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 15:130 | 1 |
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL (Main)
