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Vardar vs Kadino Skopje

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2021/2022 National Arena Toshe Proeski
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vardar play Kadino Skopje in the 2. MFL 2021/2022. Vardar are favorites here. Recently, Vardar averaged 2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Kadino Skopje averaged 0.5 goals scored and 3.07 conceded. In past meetings, Vardar won 4, Kadino Skopje won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 2, 2022 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Vardar and 0.88 for Kadino Skopje. This points to a Vardar double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

75%
Vardar
15%
Draws
10%
Kadino Skopje
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vardar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Vardar picked up more points recently compared to Kadino Skopje.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Vardar Clean Sheet 25%
Kadino Skopje Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vardar Kadino Skopje
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 1
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 24
Goals Scored 2 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.9 3.07

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2022 2. MFL
Vardar vs Kadino Skopje
4:0
Dec 11, 2021 2. MFL
Vardar vs Kadino Skopje
3:0
Oct 3, 2021 2. MFL
Kadino Skopje vs Vardar
0:3
Feb 9, 2020 Club Friendly
Kadino Skopje vs Vardar
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vardar 73 / 100
Kadino Skopje 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vardar Kadino Skopje

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vardar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Vardar & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +11.7%
1.49
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vardar attacking → ← attacking Kadino Skopje

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vardar scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Kadino Skopje let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Vardar went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Kadino Skopje lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

59 Points in last 5 8
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Pobeda27195364:2162
2Belasica Strumica27185456:1459
3Sloga Vinica27174641:2255
4Kamenica Sasa27136832:1845
5Kozuf Gevgelija27910831:2437
6Detonit Plackovica27971133:3734
7FK Pehchevo271031435:3133
8Osogovo27871234:4531
9Bratstvo 0727432019:5915
10Lokomotiva Gradsko27142212:867
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sileks27206155:966
2Voska Sport27185451:1459
3Vardar27184547:1558
4KF Gostivar27910836:3737
5Teteks271061132:4436
6Besa 197627981041:2835
7Ohrid27951334:3232
8FK Korab27761433:4327
9Veleshta27461725:6118
10Kadino Skopje27142213:847