Sport Picks

Vardar vs Riga FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe

Conference League Gradski Park, Skopje

Vardar

2 - 3

Riga FC

Our Tip

Match Events

15'

Matic M.

20'

Musah B.

21'

Galo O.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-2. The second leg ended 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Vardar

35%

Draws

32%

Riga FC

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence

Vardar haven't matched Riga FC's recent run of results.
Model gives Vardar a 33% chance of winning this.
Riga FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Riga FC, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Vardar Clean Sheet 19%

Riga FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vardar	Riga FC
Matches Played	29	31
Wins	17	21
Draws	5	7
Losses	7	3
Goals Scored	2.1	2.45
Goals Conceded	0.97	1.1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.81	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Conference League

Riga FC vs Vardar

5:2

Jul 22, 2026 Conference League

Vardar vs Riga FC

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vardar Compare

Top Goalscorer Castaneda D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Rodrigues G.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.39

Avg xA / game 0.91

Riga FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Iago Siqueira

2 Goals

Assists Leader Galo O.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vardar 76 / 100

Riga FC 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vardar Riga FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vardar Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Vardar went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Vardar scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Riga FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vardar VS Riga FC

2.13 Goals Scored 1.75

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5

75% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vardar

(Home)

19 Sept

Vardar

2 : 0

Shkendija Haracine

12 Sept

Bashkimi

3 : 3

Vardar

07 Sept

Vardar

2 : 0

Arsimi

03 Sept

Ovce Pole

0 : 5

Vardar

31 Aug

Tikves

1 : 1

Vardar

Page 1 of 6

Riga FC

(Away)

03 Oct

Aris Limassol

1 : 2

Riga FC

19 Sept

Jelgava

0 : 1

Riga FC

15 Sept

Super Nova

0 : 1

Riga FC

11 Sept

Riga FC

2 : 2

FK Auda Riga

07 Sept

Riga FC

1 : 1

BFC Daugavpils

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Vikingur Reykjavik -

TBD -

Borac Banja Luka -

TBD -

Petrocub Hincesti -

ML Vitebsk -

TBD -

Sutjeska -

Shamrock Rovers -

TBD -

KuPS -

Tre Fiori -

TBD -

Floriana -

TBD -

Drita -

Flora -

TBD -

TNS -

TBD -

Inter Escaldes -

Klaksvik -

TBD -

Vardar -

TBD -

Riga FC -

Bissen -

TBD -

Gyor -

Lincoln Red Imps -

TBD -

Larne -

HJK -

TBD -

Coleraine -

Motherwell -

TBD -

HB Torshavn -

TBD -

Freiburg -

Gornik Zabrze -

TBD -

Monaco -

Basaksehir -

TBD -

FK Sarajevo 2

Inter Turku 3

Vaduz -

TBD -

Mornar Bar 2

Atletic Escaldes 4

Debrecen -

TBD -

Marsaxlokk 0

Pyunik Yerevan 4

Polissya Zhytomyr -

TBD -

FC Copenhagen -

Hearts -

TBD -

FC Hegelmann 1

Paide Linnameeskond 4

Zira FK 6

Torpedo Kutaisi 0

Penybont 0

FC Santa Coloma 4

TBD -

Rapid Vienna -

Alashkert 4

Yelimay Semey 3

TBD -

CFR Cluj -

TBD -

Tromso -

TBD -

Brighton -

Mondorf 2

Dinamo Tbilisi 3

Petrovac 2

Zalgiris 5

TBD -

Hajduk Split -

Rakow Czestochowa -

TBD -

Valletta -

TBD -

Hammarby -

Paks -

TBD -

Panathinaikos -

Spartak Trnava -

TBD -

CSKA 1948 Sofia -

TBD -

Hradec Kralove -

IFK Goteborg -

TBD -

Caernarfon 0

Levadia 10

LNZ Cherkasy -

TBD -

Gent -

Vllaznia 2

Malisheva 6

TBD -

Hibernian -

Bravo -

TBD -

Europa FC 0

Shkendija Tetovo 6

PAOK -

TBD -

Universitatea Cluj -

TBD -

Brann -

Dila Gori 3

Virtus 2

TBD -

Apollon Limassol -

Atalanta -

TBD -

Hapoel Tel Aviv -

TBD -

Ludogorets -

Zilina -

TBD -

GKS Katowice -

Bohemians 2

St Josephs 0

Connahs Q. 2

FC Ballkani 3

TBD -

Midtjylland -

Rijeka -

TBD -

Derry City -

Vikingur 3

Stjarnan 5

Differdange 1

Ilves 3

Rangers -

TBD -

Varazdin -

TBD -

Jablonec -

Glentoran 1

RFS 4

TBD -

Vestri -

Valur -

TBD -

Zrinjski -

GAIS -

TBD -

Nordsjaelland -

Sheriff Tiraspol -

TBD -

St. Gallen -

FCSB -

TBD -

FK Auda Riga -

Aluminij -

TBD -

Dinamo City 4

FC Astana 2

TBD -

Pafos -

Zimbru Chisinau -

TBD -

Noah -

AF Elbasani 1

BATE 2

TBD -

Sion -

Vojvodina -

TBD -

Ajax -

Shelbourne -

TBD -

Kalju 3

Linfield 2

Zeleznicar Pancevo -

TBD -

Braga -

Neftci Baku -

TBD -

Din. Minsk 2

Sileks 1

AEK Larnaca -

TBD -

Beitar Jerusalem -

Decic 1

FK Liepaja 3

TBD -

Austria Vienna -

Twente -

TBD -

Dun. Streda -

TBD -

Velez Mostar 2

Milsami 1

Dynamo Kyiv -

TBD -

Qarabag Agdam -

Getafe -

TBD -

Partizan -

TBD -

UNA Strassen 3

La Fiorita 0

FK Panevezys -

TBD -

Tobol -

Lugano -

TBD -

Dukagjini -

NSI Runavik 3

Hamrun 2

TBD -

Koper -

TBD -

Maccabi Tel Aviv -

Quarter-finals

Vikingur Reykjavik -

TBD -

Borac Banja Luka 6

Petrocub Hincesti 3

ML Vitebsk 5

Sutjeska 1

Shamrock Rovers -

TBD -

KuPS -

Tre Fiori -

TBD -

Floriana 2

Drita 3

Flora 2

TNS 1

TBD -

Inter Escaldes -

Klaksvik -

TBD -

Vardar 4

Riga FC 8

Bissen 3

Gyor 7

Lincoln Red Imps -

TBD -

Larne -

HJK 8

Coleraine 0

Motherwell 5

HB Torshavn 0

TBD -

Freiburg -

Gornik Zabrze -

TBD -

Monaco -

Basaksehir 1

Inter Turku 3

Vaduz 6

Atletic Escaldes 0

Debrecen 1

Pyunik Yerevan 0

Polissya Zhytomyr 4

FC Copenhagen 5

Hearts -

TBD -

Paide Linnameeskond 2

Zira FK 1

FC Santa Coloma 3

Rapid Vienna 9

Alashkert 1

CFR Cluj 4

TBD -

Tromso -

TBD -

Brighton -

Dinamo Tbilisi 5

Zalgiris 7

TBD -

Hajduk Split -

Rakow Czestochowa 7

Valletta 1

TBD -

Hammarby -

Paks 3

Panathinaikos 4

Spartak Trnava 0

CSKA 1948 Sofia 1

TBD -

Hradec Kralove -

IFK Goteborg 4

Levadia 3

LNZ Cherkasy 0

Gent 1

Malisheva 3

Hibernian 4

Bravo 3

Shkendija Tetovo 4

PAOK -

TBD -

Universitatea Cluj 3

Brann 5

Dila Gori 0

Apollon Limassol 7

Atalanta -

TBD -

Hapoel Tel Aviv 4

Ludogorets 2

Zilina 3

GKS Katowice 4

Bohemians 5

FC Ballkani 4

TBD -

Midtjylland -

Rijeka 2

Derry City 0

Stjarnan 2

Ilves 3

Rangers -

TBD -

Varazdin 3

Jablonec 4

RFS 5

Vestri 2

Valur 3

Zrinjski 2

GAIS 1

Nordsjaelland 6

Sheriff Tiraspol -

TBD -

St. Gallen -

FCSB 3

FK Auda Riga 7

Aluminij 1

Dinamo City 4

TBD -

Pafos -

Zimbru Chisinau 2

Noah 3

BATE 1

Sion 5

Vojvodina 2

Ajax 8

Shelbourne 6

Kalju 4

Zeleznicar Pancevo 0

Braga 5

Neftci Baku 3

Din. Minsk 4

AEK Larnaca 3

Beitar Jerusalem 4

FK Liepaja 1

Austria Vienna 5

Twente -

TBD -

Dun. Streda 4

Velez Mostar 0

Dynamo Kyiv -

TBD -

Qarabag Agdam -

Getafe -

TBD -

Partizan 5

UNA Strassen 0

FK Panevezys 2

Tobol 3

Lugano 6

Dukagjini 1

NSI Runavik 4

Koper 3

TBD -

Maccabi Tel Aviv -

Semi-finals

Vikingur Reykjavik -

TBD -

Borac Banja Luka 3

ML Vitebsk 2

Shamrock Rovers -

TBD -

KuPS -

Tre Fiori 1

Drita 9

Flora 0

Inter Escaldes 6

Klaksvik -

TBD -

Riga FC 2

Gyor 1

Lincoln Red Imps -

TBD -

Larne -

HJK 1

Motherwell 3

TBD -

Freiburg -

Gornik Zabrze -

TBD -

Monaco -

Inter Turku 4

Vaduz 3

Debrecen 1

FC Copenhagen 8

Hearts -

TBD -

Paide Linnameeskond 1

Rapid Vienna 6

CFR Cluj 1

Tromso 7

TBD -

Brighton -

Zalgiris 2

Hajduk Split 9

Rakow Czestochowa 1

Hammarby 0

Panathinaikos 3

CSKA 1948 Sofia 2

TBD -

Hradec Kralove -

IFK Goteborg 1

Gent 2

Hibernian 2

Shkendija Tetovo 1

PAOK -

TBD -

Brann 4

Apollon Limassol 3

Atalanta -

TBD -

Hapoel Tel Aviv 3

GKS Katowice 2

Bohemians 2

Midtjylland 5

Rijeka 2

Ilves 1

Rangers -

TBD -

Jablonec 4

RFS 1

Valur 0

Nordsjaelland 7

Sheriff Tiraspol 2

St. Gallen 8

FK Auda Riga 1

Dinamo City 4

TBD -

Pafos -

Noah 3

Sion 4

Ajax 5

Shelbourne 3

Braga 1

Din. Minsk 0

Beitar Jerusalem 3

Austria Vienna 4

Twente 9

Dun. Streda 3

Dynamo Kyiv 1

Qarabag Agdam 2

Getafe -

TBD -

Partizan 5

Tobol 1

Lugano 4

NSI Runavik 2

TBD -

Maccabi Tel Aviv -

Final

Vikingur Reykjavik 2

Borac Banja Luka 6

Shamrock Rovers 1

KuPS 2

Drita 2

Inter Escaldes 3

Klaksvik 1

Riga FC 2

Lincoln Red Imps 3

Larne 2

Motherwell 2

Freiburg 7

Gornik Zabrze 3

Monaco 7

Inter Turku 1

FC Copenhagen 4

Hearts 5

Rapid Vienna 4

Tromso 0

Brighton 4

Hajduk Split 5

Rakow Czestochowa 4

Panathinaikos 4

Hradec Kralove 3

Gent 3

Hibernian 2

PAOK 3

Brann 4

Atalanta 1

Hapoel Tel Aviv 0

Midtjylland 6

Rijeka 1

Rangers 1

Jablonec 2

Nordsjaelland 4

St. Gallen 2

Dinamo City 3

Pafos 5

Sion 5

Ajax 9

Braga 2

Austria Vienna 0

Twente 4

Qarabag Agdam 2

Getafe 4

Partizan 3

Lugano 3

Maccabi Tel Aviv 2

Vardar vs Riga FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe

Vardar

Riga FC

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Vardar Compare

Riga FC Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Vardar

Riga FC

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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