Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vardar vs Sileks

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL National Arena Toshe Proeski, Skopje
Mon, Aug 24, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vardar host Sileks in the 1. MFL. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Vardar have averaged 2.18 scored and 0.97 conceded recently, against Sileks's 1.78 scored and 0.81 conceded. Past meetings favor Vardar slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.56 - 1.94) back Vardar to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Vardar
15%
Draws
65%
Sileks
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sileks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Vardar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sileks a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Vardar here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Vardar Clean Sheet 10%
Sileks Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vardar Sileks
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 21 17
Draws 3 6
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 2.18 1.78
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 1. MFL
Vardar vs Sileks
2:1
Mar 9, 2026 1. MFL
Sileks vs Vardar
0:1
Oct 31, 2025 1. MFL
Vardar vs Sileks
2:1
Mar 9, 2025 1. MFL
Sileks vs Vardar
1:1
Feb 26, 2025 Macedonian Cup
Vardar vs Sileks
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vardar 10 / 100
Sileks 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vardar Sileks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sileks Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vardar found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (33 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Sileks conceded in 50% of 32 recent games.

Vardar went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vardar VS Sileks
2 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vardar

(Home)
16 Aug
Struga
1 : 0
Vardar
09 Aug
Vardar
0 : 2
Shkendija Tetovo
28 Jul
Riga FC
5 : 2
Vardar
25 Jul
Vardar
2 : 0
Bregalnica Stip
22 Jul
Vardar
2 : 3
Riga FC
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Sileks

(Away)
15 Aug
Sileks
3 : 0
FK Skopje
07 Aug
Shkendija Haracine
1 : 1
Sileks
26 Jul
Sileks
6 : 0
Bashkimi
16 Jul
Sileks
0 : 2
Din. Minsk
09 Jul
Din. Minsk
0 : 1
Sileks
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shkendija Tetovo 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Sileks 3 2 1 0 10:1 7
3 Struga 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
4 Tikves 3 2 0 1 10:2 6
5 Shkendija Haracine 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
6 Bregalnica Stip 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
7 Vardar 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
8 Arsimi 3 1 0 2 2:9 3
9 FK Skopje 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
10 Bashkimi 3 0 0 3 0:12 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2027/2028 (Main)