Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vardari Forino vs Veleshta

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 2. MFL 2020/2021 game between Vardari Forino and Veleshta finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vardari Forino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vardari Forino
20%
Draws
40%
Veleshta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Veleshta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Vardari Forino's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Vardari Forino Clean Sheet 68%
Veleshta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vardari Forino Veleshta
Matches Played 21 32
Wins 4 7
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 1.1 1.22
Goals Conceded 2.05 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2021 2. MFL
Vardari Forino vs Veleshta
0:0
Mar 6, 2021 2. MFL
Veleshta vs Vardari Forino
3:0
Oct 24, 2020 2. MFL
Vardari Forino vs Veleshta
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vardari Forino 95 / 100
Veleshta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vardari Forino Veleshta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vardari Forino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Veleshta conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Difficult form: Veleshta registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Vardari Forino scored in 48% of their last 21 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Veleshta
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vardari Forino

(Home)
06 Mar
Veleshta
3 : 0
Vardari Forino
27 Feb
Vardari Forino
0 : 3
KF Gostivar
13 Dec
Teteks
3 : 1
Vardari Forino
05 Dec
Vardari Forino
0 : 1
Ohrid
28 Nov
Kadino Skopje
1 : 1
Vardari Forino
Page 1 of 5

Veleshta

(Away)
14 May
Veleshta
1 : 2
KF Gostivar
07 May
Kadino Skopje
1 : 1
Veleshta
30 Apr
Besa 1976
8 : 1
Veleshta
23 Apr
Veleshta
2 : 3
Ohrid
16 Apr
FK Korab
3 : 1
Veleshta
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bregalnica Stip 27 23 4 0 73:18 73
2 Tikves 27 18 7 2 59:23 61
3 FK Pehchevo 27 12 6 9 41:33 42
4 Sloga Vinica 27 9 9 9 33:34 36
5 Kozuf Gevgelija 27 9 9 9 29:35 36
6 Kamenica Sasa 27 9 8 10 35:32 35
7 Osogovo 27 7 8 12 32:43 29
8 Pobeda 27 6 9 12 30:35 27
9 Plackovica 27 5 7 15 20:42 21
10 Rosoman 83 27 2 3 22 26:83 9
Promotion - 1. MFL 2021/2022 (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL 2020/2021 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2020/2021 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Skopje 26 18 6 2 50:20 60
2 Ohrid 26 13 7 6 26:13 46
3 Veleshta 26 13 7 6 32:23 46
4 KF Gostivar 26 12 7 7 33:30 43
5 FK Korab 26 10 6 10 28:27 36
6 Kadino Skopje 26 7 7 12 24:24 28
7 Vellazerimi 26 7 6 13 26:34 27
8 Teteks 26 8 3 15 19:34 27
9 Drita 26 4 9 13 28:41 21
10 Vardari Forino 18 3 4 11 15:35 10
Promotion - 1. MFL 2021/2022 (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL 2020/2021 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2020/2021 (Relegation)