Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Varde vs Ikast Prediction & H2H Stats

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division West 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Varde in this 2nd Division West 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Varde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Varde
15%
Draws
49%
Ikast
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ikast

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Ikast at 2.07 per game, Varde at 1.44.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Ikast taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Varde Clean Sheet 14%
Ikast Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varde Ikast
Matches Played 45 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 9 4
Losses 23 13
Goals Scored 1.44 2.07
Goals Conceded 2.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2010 2nd Division West
Varde vs Ikast
4:0
Nov 14, 2009 2nd Division West
Ikast vs Varde
3:2
Jun 7, 2009 2nd Division West
Varde vs Ikast
4:0
Oct 4, 2008 2nd Division West
Ikast vs Varde
2:0
Mar 29, 2008 2nd Division West
Ikast vs Varde
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varde 10 / 100
Ikast 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varde Ikast

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ikast Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Varde scored in 76% of their last 45 outings.

Ikast's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Ikast has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Varde VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Varde

(Home)
05 Aug
Varde
1 : 2
OKS Odense
06 Aug
Varde
0 : 6
Kolding IF
08 Aug
Kolding BK
4 : 0
Varde
30 Aug
Varde
0 : 2
Aarhus Fremad
02 Aug
Varde
4 : 3
Tarup-Paarup
Page 1 of 9

Ikast

(Away)
12 Jun
Odense II
5 : 2
Ikast
06 Jun
Ikast
3 : 4
Esbjerg II
29 May
Jammerbugt
5 : 1
Ikast
25 May
Ikast
2 : 2
Tjorring
22 May
Aalborg II
1 : 4
Ikast
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vendsyssel FF 30 23 4 3 60:23 73
2 Hobro 30 18 6 6 74:42 60
3 Aarhus Fremad 30 17 8 5 58:37 59
4 Randers Freja 30 16 7 7 53:34 55
5 Jammerbugt 30 15 7 8 49:23 52
6 Odense II 30 14 4 12 56:44 46
7 Svendborg 30 13 7 10 46:42 46
8 Esbjerg II 30 12 8 10 57:44 44
9 Ikast 30 13 4 13 62:60 43
10 Holstebro 30 13 2 15 48:62 41
11 Varde 30 9 4 17 46:56 31
12 Aarhus II 30 8 6 16 36:68 30
13 Tjorring 30 6 7 17 35:66 25
14 Aalborg II 30 6 7 17 32:64 25
15 Naesby 30 6 6 18 44:59 24
16 Otterup 30 4 7 19 38:70 19
Relegation - 2nd Division East 2009/2010 (Play Out)
Promotion - 1st Division 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - 2nd Division East 2009/2010 (Play Offs)