Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Pourie M.
(Penalty)
34'
34'
Marxen E.
81'
81'
Golubovic B.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-3, with Sonderjyske advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Varde
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
21%
/ Low Confidence
- Varde carry the better recent record into this one.
- 21% — that's where the model lands on Sonderjyske taking it.
- Varde have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Sonderjyske, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Varde Clean Sheet 13%
Sonderjyske Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Varde | Sonderjyske |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 18 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.42 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.52 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 1, 2014 Betano Pokalen
Varde vs Sonderjyske
0:3
Aug 23, 2006 Betano Pokalen
Varde vs Sonderjyske
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Varde Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Sonderjyske Compare
Top Goalscorer Marxen E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Golubovic B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Varde 10 / 100
Sonderjyske 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Varde Sonderjyske
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sonderjyske Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Varde scored in 79% of their last 33 games.
Sonderjyske's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
Difficult form: Sonderjyske registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Varde VS Sonderjyske
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Varde
(Home) 05 Aug
Varde
1 : 2 OKS Odense
06 Aug
Varde
0 : 6 Kolding IF
08 Aug
Kolding BK
4 : 0 Varde
30 Aug
Varde
0 : 2 Aarhus Fremad
02 Aug
Varde
4 : 3 Tarup-Paarup
Page 1 of 7
05 Aug
Varde
1 : 2 OKS Odense
06 Aug
Varde
0 : 6 Kolding IF
30 Aug
Varde
0 : 2 Aarhus Fremad
02 Aug
Varde
4 : 3 Tarup-Paarup
02 Sept
Varde
0 : 8 Horsens
Page 1 of 4
Sonderjyske
(Away) 31 Aug
FC Copenhagen
3 : 1 Sonderjyske
23 Aug
Sonderjyske
0 : 3 Nordsjaelland
17 Aug
Brondby
3 : 2 Sonderjyske
07 Aug
Sonderjyske
0 : 0 Viborg
03 Aug
Odense
1 : 0 Sonderjyske
Page 1 of 6
31 Aug
FC Copenhagen
3 : 1 Sonderjyske
17 Aug
Brondby
3 : 2 Sonderjyske
03 Aug
Odense
1 : 0 Sonderjyske
10 Jul
Holstein Kiel
2 : 1 Sonderjyske
26 Jun
Randers FC
2 : 4 Sonderjyske
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
FC Copenhagen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hvidovre IF 1
Skovshoved 0
BK Hellas 0
Roskilde 8
Boldklubben 1893 3
Jaegersborg 0
Gentofte-Vangede 4
Herlev 5
Nykobing 7
Maribo BK 0
FB 0
Greve IF 3
Silkeborg -
TBD -
Glamsbjerg 0
FC Sonderborg 6
Avedore 2
Bornholm 1
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 1
Rodovre 2
Lyngby 2
Avarta 0
Frem Sakskobing 2
Kalundborg GB 4
Kolding BK 2
Morud 1
TBD -
Randers FC -
Aalborg -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vejgaard 2
RKG 1
Harte 0
Vejle 4
Hellerup 2
BK Frem 1
B 77 0
Gilleleje FK 2
Lyseng 4
Djursland 1
Herning KFUM 0
Odder 8
Midtjylland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fredericia 4
Kolding IF 0
Aabyhoj 2
Aarhus Fremad 4
Horsens 4
Viby 1
Skanderborg 2
Brabrand 3
Lindholm 4
Thisted FC 3
TBD -
Esbjerg -
Sonderjyske -
TBD -
Sonderso 0
Esbjerg IF 92 3
Hobro -
TBD -
Viborg 0
Aarhus 2
Egedal 3
Birkerod 2
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
Ringkobing 4
Hedensted 1
Nyborg G&IF 0
Varde 5
Skovbakken 3
Vejlby IK 0
Skalbjerg Vissenbjerg 0
OKS Odense 1
B73 Slagelse 2
Ringsted 0
Holbaek 1
B 1908 2
Fremad Amager 3
Helsingor 0
Rishoj 1
Ledoje-Smorum 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brondby -
Bronshoj 9
Blovstrod IF 1
TBD -
Odense -
Marstal/Rise 1
FC Sydvest 05 0
Hirtshals BK 0
Jammerbugt 3
Sollerod-Ved. 2
VB 1968 0
Vanlose 3
FC Lejre 4
Marienlyst 2
Middelfart 1
Vendsyssel FF 0
Skive 2
Koge 2
Naestved IF 1
Vojens B&I 0
Naesby 1
AB Tarnby 10
Randoms 0
Taastrup 0
AB Copenhagen 8
Svendborg 4
Tarup-Paarup 2
Holstebro 0
Kjellerup 1
Svebolle 7
Nakskov 1
TBD -
Slagelse -
1/32-finals
FC Copenhagen -
TBD -
Hvidovre IF 1
Roskilde 2
Boldklubben 1893 2
Herlev 0
Nykobing 1
Greve IF 2
Silkeborg 7
FC Sonderborg 0
Avedore 1
Rodovre 2
Lyngby 10
Kalundborg GB 0
Kolding BK 1
Randers FC 7
Aalborg -
TBD -
Vejgaard 1
Vejle 2
Hellerup 5
Gilleleje FK 1
Lyseng 1
Odder 2
Midtjylland -
TBD -
Fredericia 1
Aarhus Fremad 2
Horsens 2
Brabrand 1
Lindholm 0
Esbjerg 1
Sonderjyske 3
Esbjerg IF 92 0
Hobro 1
Aarhus 2
Egedal 2
Nordsjaelland 1
Ringkobing 2
Varde 3
Skovbakken 2
OKS Odense 1
B73 Slagelse 0
B 1908 1
Fremad Amager 1
Ledoje-Smorum 0
TBD -
Brondby -
Bronshoj 1
Odense 0
Marstal/Rise 0
Jammerbugt 3
Sollerod-Ved. 6
FC Lejre 0
Marienlyst 1
Skive 2
Koge 3
Naesby 0
AB Tarnby 1
AB Copenhagen 3
Svendborg 1
Kjellerup 0
Svebolle 1
Slagelse 5
1/16-finals
FC Copenhagen 3
Roskilde 2
Boldklubben 1893 0
Greve IF 1
Silkeborg 4
Rodovre 0
Lyngby 0
Randers FC 2
Aalborg 1
Vejle 0
Hellerup 1
Odder 5
Midtjylland 5
Aarhus Fremad 1
Horsens 0
Esbjerg 7
Sonderjyske 2
Aarhus 1
Egedal 2
Varde 3
Skovbakken 4
B 1908 2
Fremad Amager 1
Brondby 3
Bronshoj 2
Jammerbugt 0
Sollerod-Ved. 0
Skive 3
Koge 2
AB Copenhagen 1
Svendborg 2
Slagelse 3
1/8-finals
FC Copenhagen 3
Greve IF 0
Silkeborg 0
Randers FC 1
Aalborg 4
Odder 2
Midtjylland 0
Esbjerg 3
Sonderjyske 3
Varde 0
Skovbakken 1
Brondby 2
Bronshoj 1
Skive 0
Koge 0
Slagelse 3
Quarter-finals
FC Copenhagen 1
Randers FC 0
Aalborg 2
Esbjerg 4
Sonderjyske 4
Brondby 2
Bronshoj 1
Slagelse 2
Semi-finals
FC Copenhagen 2
Esbjerg 1
Sonderjyske 1
Slagelse 2
Final
FC Copenhagen 3
Slagelse 2
