Sport Picks

Denmark

1. Division Women 2023/2024

Sundby W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Varde W play Sundby W in the 1. Division Women 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Varde W averaged 1.76 goals scored and 1.94 conceded. Sundby W averaged 1.42 goals scored and 2.29 conceded. In past meetings, Varde W won 4, Sundby W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 15, 2024 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.80 for Varde W and 1.76 for Sundby W. This points to a Varde W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%

Varde W

15%

Draws

36%

Sundby W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Varde W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Varde W picked up more points recently compared to Sundby W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.80 vs 1.76 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 84%

Over 2.5 Goals 67%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%

Varde W Clean Sheet 12%

Sundby W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 76%

Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Varde W	Sundby W
Matches Played	33	31
Wins	13	12
Draws	5	2
Losses	15	17
Goals Scored	1.76	1.42
Goals Conceded	1.94	2.29
Expected Goals (xG)	1.60	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.40	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2024 B-Liga Women

Varde W vs Sundby W

Possession: 54% - 42% Cards: 1 - 1

4:2

Apr 20, 2024 B-Liga Women

Sundby W vs Varde W

Possession: 48% - 41% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Nov 4, 2023 B-Liga Women

Sundby W vs Varde W

Possession: 58% - 58% Cards: 0 - 1

2:4

Sep 2, 2023 B-Liga Women

Varde W vs Sundby W

Possession: 45% - 51% Cards: 3 - 1

2:0

Oct 2, 2021 B-Liga Women

Varde W vs Sundby W

Possession: 59% - 40% Cards: 4 - 0

4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varde W 47 / 100

Sundby W 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Varde W Sundby W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Varde W or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19.6%

2.44

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.64

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Varde W attacking → ← attacking Sundby W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varde W scored in 76% of their last 33 games.

Sundby W let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Varde W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Sundby W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 38

1.60 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

2.40 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vildbjerg W	10	8	0	2	33:11	24
2	Varde W	10	6	1	3	23:18	19
3	ASA Aarhus W	10	6	0	4	26:18	18
4	Solrod FC W	10	4	1	5	21:26	13
5	Sundby W	10	4	1	5	14:20	13
6	BSF W	10	0	1	9	5:29	1