Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16

Varea

1 - 1

CD Calahorra

Our Tip

Match Events

Taha M.

75'

Ubis E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 game between Varea and CD Calahorra finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Varea

11%

Draws

80%

CD Calahorra

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: CD Calahorra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Varea come out ahead of CD Calahorra on wins alone.
Model gives CD Calahorra a 80% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%

Varea Clean Sheet 11%

CD Calahorra Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Varea	CD Calahorra
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	18	14
Draws	6	10
Losses	6	6
Goals Scored	1	2.88
Goals Conceded	0.75	0.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16

Varea vs CD Calahorra

Possession: 53% - 58% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16

CD Calahorra vs Varea

Possession: 58% - 54% Cards: 0 - 3

1:1

Apr 22, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 16

CD Calahorra vs Varea

Possession: 47% - 50% Cards: 0 - 3

1:0

Nov 26, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 16

Varea vs CD Calahorra

Possession: 42% - 52% Cards: 2 - 3

0:2

Jan 15, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 16

Varea vs CD Calahorra

Possession: 41% - 40% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varea Compare

Top Goalscorer Ubis E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

CD Calahorra Compare

Top Goalscorer Taha M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.62

Avg xA / game 1.6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varea 10 / 100

CD Calahorra 86 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Varea CD Calahorra

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varea's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Varea remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: CD Calahorra conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Varea VS CD Calahorra

1 Goals Scored 2.88

0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38

50% Over 1.5 100%

25% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	UD Logrones B	34	26	8	0	99:22	86
2	Varea	34	22	7	5	51:25	73
3	Arnedo	34	21	9	4	72:26	72
4	CD Calahorra	34	17	12	5	86:26	63
5	Oyonesa	34	18	7	9	54:41	61
6	Anguiano	34	17	9	8	49:36	60
7	Haro Deportivo	34	14	9	11	54:46	51
8	Agoncillo	34	13	8	13	59:49	47
9	Vianes	34	11	9	14	39:51	42
10	Yague	34	9	13	12	48:52	40
11	San Marcial	34	10	9	15	39:59	39
12	Berceo	34	10	9	15	42:50	39
13	CDFC La Calzada	34	10	8	16	40:55	38
14	Comillas CF	34	11	5	18	32:58	38
15	Pradejon	34	9	8	17	30:49	35
16	Villegas	34	7	7	20	36:66	28
17	Autol	34	4	6	24	20:80	18
18	Pena Balsamaiso	34	0	11	23	27:86	11