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Varegg vs Gneist IL

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Rinde H. O.

AI Match Summary

Gneist IL in this Division 3 - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gneist IL.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Varegg
28%
Draws
22%
Gneist IL
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Varegg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Varegg haven't matched Gneist IL's recent run of results.
  • Varegg are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • History favors Varegg here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Varegg Clean Sheet 10%
Gneist IL Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varegg Gneist IL
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 5 7
Draws 5 5
Losses 22 19
Goals Scored 1.13 2.5
Goals Conceded 2.13 3.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 3.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
Varegg vs Gneist IL
0:1
Oct 22, 2016 Division 3 - Group 7
Varegg vs Gneist IL
3:1
Jun 25, 2016 Division 3 - Group 7
Gneist IL vs Varegg
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varegg Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Gneist IL Compare

Top Goalscorer Rinde H. O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varegg 47 / 100
Gneist IL 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varegg Gneist IL

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gneist IL's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Gneist IL lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Varegg found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Varegg VS Gneist IL
1.13 Goals Scored 2.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 75%