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Varegg vs Stord

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stord in this Division 3 - Group 4 2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stord.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Varegg
39%
Draws
30%
Stord
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Varegg haven't matched Stord's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Stord here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Varegg Clean Sheet 11%
Stord Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varegg Stord
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 4 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 1 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
Stord vs Varegg
1:1
Sep 8, 2018 Division 3 - Group 4
Stord vs Varegg
5:2
May 16, 2018 Division 3 - Group 4
Varegg vs Stord
1:2
Sep 30, 2017 Division 3 - Group 4
Stord vs Varegg
3:1
Jun 16, 2017 Division 3 - Group 4
Varegg vs Stord
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varegg 30 / 100
Stord 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varegg Stord

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stord let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Varegg's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Varegg has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Varegg VS Stord
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Varegg

(Home)
28 Jun
Varegg
1 : 1
V. Haugesund
20 Jun
Stord
1 : 1
Varegg
13 Jun
Varegg
0 : 1
Gneist IL
30 May
Djerv 1919
3 : 2
Varegg
16 May
Varegg
0 : 2
Asane 2
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Stord

(Away)
27 Jun
Sogndal 2
0 : 2
Stord
20 Jun
Stord
1 : 1
Varegg
15 Jun
Asane 2
1 : 2
Stord
30 May
Stord
2 : 2
Fyllingsdalen
22 May
V. Haugesund
4 : 1
Stord
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