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Varese FC vs Lentigione - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Beretta R.
85' Event
Bontempi M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group D matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Varese FC
30%
Draws
41%
Lentigione
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lentigione

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Lentigione have won more games recently than Varese FC.
  • Win probability leans Varese FC's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Varese FC Clean Sheet 20%
Lentigione Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varese FC Lentigione
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 10 17
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.41 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.59 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Varese FC vs Lentigione
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varese FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Beretta R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Lentigione Compare

Top Goalscorer Bontempi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varese FC 42 / 100
Lentigione 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varese FC Lentigione

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varese FC scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: Lentigione conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Varese FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Varese FC VS Lentigione
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Varese FC

(Home)
07 Oct
Varese FC
2 : 5
Pro Patria
04 Oct
Crema
3 : 2
Varese FC
27 Sept
Varese FC
1 : 1
Lentigione
20 Sept
US Pontedera
0 : 3
Varese FC
16 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 : 0
Varese FC
Page 1 of 6

Lentigione

(Away)
07 Oct
Lentigione
1 : 3
Piacenza
04 Oct
Oltrepo
1 : 2
Lentigione
27 Sept
Varese FC
1 : 1
Lentigione
20 Sept
Lentigione
0 : 1
Cittadella Vis Modena
16 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 2
Lentigione
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pistoiese 6 6 0 0 17:1 18
2 Pro Sesto 6 4 1 1 17:5 13
3 Pro Patria 6 4 1 1 10:4 13
4 Lentigione 6 4 1 1 9:6 13
5 Castellanzese 6 4 0 2 13:5 12
6 Cittadella Vis Modena 6 3 1 2 7:4 10
7 USD Casatese 6 3 1 2 10:9 10
8 Correggese 6 3 1 2 7:9 10
9 Sant'Angelo 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
10 Pavia 6 1 4 1 5:3 7
11 Varese FC 6 1 3 2 7:7 6
12 Varesina 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
13 Solbiatese 5 1 2 2 2:6 5
14 Tropical Coriano 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
15 Crema 6 1 1 4 4:14 4
16 Arconatese 6 0 3 3 4:13 3
17 Oltrepo 6 1 0 5 4:14 3
18 US Pontedera 5 0 0 5 3:15 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)