Sport Picks
Varese FC vs Pro Patria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Coppa Italia Serie D 
Match Events
25'
25'
Maistrello T.
31'
31'
Mapelli F.
47'
47'
Boinaidi S.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-5. The second leg ended 2-5.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pro Patria
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Varese FC carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Pro Patria's way, sitting at 70%.
- Varese FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Pro Patria, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Varese FC Clean Sheet 16%
Pro Patria Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Varese FC | Pro Patria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 7, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie D
Varese FC vs Pro Patria
2:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Varese FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Gallotti E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Castellucchio G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Pro Patria Compare
Top Goalscorer Maistrello T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mapelli F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Varese FC 15 / 100
Pro Patria 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Varese FC Pro Patria
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pro Patria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Varese FC found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Pro Patria conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.
Varese FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Varese FC VS Pro Patria
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Varese FC
(Home) 07 Oct
Varese FC
2 : 5 Pro Patria
04 Oct
Crema
3 : 2 Varese FC
27 Sept
Varese FC
1 : 1 Lentigione
20 Sept
US Pontedera
0 : 3 Varese FC
16 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 : 0 Varese FC
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Varese FC
2 : 5 Pro Patria
27 Sept
Varese FC
1 : 1 Lentigione
12 Sept
Varese FC
0 : 2 Pro Sesto
19 Aug
Varese FC
3 : 2 Pro Palazzolo
26 Apr
Varese FC
1 : 0 Saluzzo
Page 1 of 3
Pro Patria
(Away) 07 Oct
Varese FC
2 : 5 Pro Patria
04 Oct
Varesina
0 : 0 Pro Patria
27 Sept
Pro Patria
0 : 1 Solbiatese
20 Sept
Arconatese
0 : 3 Pro Patria
16 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 0 Crema
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Varese FC
2 : 5 Pro Patria
04 Oct
Varesina
0 : 0 Pro Patria
20 Sept
Arconatese
0 : 3 Pro Patria
12 Sept
US Pontedera
2 : 3 Pro Patria
25 Apr
Renate
2 : 1 Pro Patria
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
AS Biellese 3
Alessandria 2
Valenzana 3
Saluzzo 2
Villa Valle 2
Tritium 1
Brusaporto 2
Chievo 1
Real Calepina 0
AC Leon 2
Varese FC 2
Pro Patria 5
Pavia 1
Sant'Angelo 3
Sanremese 5
Millesimo 2
Cjarlins Muzane 2
Brian Lignano 1
Este 0
Caldiero Terme 2
Mestre 0
Schio 2
Clodiense 2
Campodarsego 1
Lentigione 1
Piacenza 3
Sasso Marconi 1
Cittadella Vis Modena 0
Sestri Levante 1
Pistoiese 0
Seravezza Pozzi 1
Lucchese 2
Terranuova Traiana 0
Prato 3
Ternana -
Recanatese -
Ancona 2
Fossombrone 1
Flaminia 0
Siena 3
Unipomezia 3
Teramo 4
Latte Dolce 3
Sarrabus Ogliastra 0
Aquila Calcio 5
Termoli 2
Paganese 1
Real Normanna 2
Certosa V. Campagnano 4
Albalonga 1
Nocerina 1
Turris 2
Fidelis Andria 2
Bisceglie 1
Virtus Francavilla 3
Gravina 0
Lamezia 2
Gelbison 3
Igea Virtus 3
Reggina 2
Calcio Avola 0
ASD Modica Calcio 4
Trapani 1
Licata 2
1/16-finals
AS Biellese -
Valenzana -
Villa Valle -
Brusaporto -
AC Leon -
Pro Patria -
Sant'Angelo -
Sanremese -
Cjarlins Muzane -
Caldiero Terme -
Schio -
Clodiense -
Piacenza -
Sasso Marconi -
Sestri Levante -
Lucchese -
Prato -
TBD -
Ancona -
Siena -
Teramo -
Latte Dolce -
Aquila Calcio -
Real Normanna -
Certosa V. Campagnano -
Turris -
Fidelis Andria -
Virtus Francavilla -
Gelbison -
Igea Virtus -
ASD Modica Calcio -
Licata -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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