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Stadium Background

Varese vs OltrepoVoghera

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Varese
20%
Draws
16%
OltrepoVoghera
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Varese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Varese have won more games recently than OltrepoVoghera.
  • Varese are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Varese Clean Sheet 20%
OltrepoVoghera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varese OltrepoVoghera
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 4
Draws 15 14
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.17 0.66
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2018 Serie D - Group A
OltrepoVoghera vs Varese
2:0
Feb 11, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Varese vs OltrepoVoghera
0:0
Oct 8, 2017 Serie D - Group A
OltrepoVoghera vs Varese
2:1
Feb 5, 2017 Serie D - Group A
OltrepoVoghera vs Varese
0:1
Oct 2, 2016 Serie D - Group A
Varese vs OltrepoVoghera
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varese 67 / 100
OltrepoVoghera 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varese OltrepoVoghera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varese's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: OltrepoVoghera conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

Difficult form: OltrepoVoghera registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS OltrepoVoghera
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Varese

(Home)
13 May
OltrepoVoghera
2 : 0
Varese
06 May
Varesina
2 : 1
Varese
29 Apr
Varese
1 : 1
AC Chieri
22 Apr
Varese
2 : 0
Castellazzo
15 Apr
Seregno Calcio
2 : 1
Varese
Page 1 of 6

OltrepoVoghera

(Away)
05 May
USD Classe 1974
1 : 1
OltrepoVoghera
28 Apr
OltrepoVoghera
0 : 2
Fiorenzuola
18 Apr
Crema
1 : 0
OltrepoVoghera
14 Apr
OltrepoVoghera
0 : 2
Ciliverghe Mazzano
07 Apr
Fanfulla
2 : 1
OltrepoVoghera
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gozzano 38 25 7 6 68:25 82
2 Como 38 25 6 7 58:27 81
3 Caronnese 38 21 11 6 62:30 74
4 AC Chieri 38 19 14 5 64:37 71
5 Pro Sesto 38 20 7 11 69:43 67
6 Folgore Caratese 38 14 14 10 45:39 56
7 Inveruno 38 14 10 14 44:48 52
8 Borgosesia Calcio 38 14 9 15 40:39 51
9 Arconatese 38 14 8 16 37:46 50
10 Bra 38 13 10 15 45:51 49
11 Pavia 38 12 11 15 53:58 47
12 Borgaro 38 11 13 14 35:44 46
13 Olginatese 38 9 18 11 37:44 45
14 Seregno Calcio 38 10 14 14 45:54 44
15 OltrepoVoghera 38 9 16 13 34:47 43
16 Casale 38 10 12 16 41:48 42
17 Varesina 38 10 11 17 33:45 41
18 Varese 38 8 16 14 47:49 40
19 Calcio Derthona 38 5 11 22 25:62 26
20 Castellazzo 38 3 10 25 32:78 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)