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Varginha vs Tres Coracoes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2021
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AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2021 game between Varginha and Tres Coracoes finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tres Coracoes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Varginha
30%
Draws
18%
Tres Coracoes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Varginha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Varginha come out ahead of Tres Coracoes on wins alone.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Varginha taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Varginha Clean Sheet 20%
Tres Coracoes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varginha Tres Coracoes
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 9 2
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 0.94 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.39 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 7, 2021 Mineiro 3
Tres Coracoes vs Varginha
2:3
Sep 19, 2021 Mineiro 3
Varginha vs Tres Coracoes
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varginha 85 / 100
Tres Coracoes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varginha Tres Coracoes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varginha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tres Coracoes let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Varginha went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Varginha found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Varginha VS Tres Coracoes
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Varginha

(Home)
21 Jun
URT
1 : 2
Varginha
15 Jun
Varginha
2 : 2
Uberaba
08 Jun
Varginha
1 : 1
Caldense
02 Jun
Mamore
1 : 1
Varginha
28 May
Patrocinense
0 : 2
Varginha
Page 1 of 7

Tres Coracoes

(Away)
19 Oct
Tres Coracoes
0 : 3
Guarani-MG
13 Oct
Pocos de Caldas
3 : 0
Tres Coracoes
07 Oct
Tres Coracoes
0 : 3
Villa Real
02 Oct
Tres Coracoes
2 : 1
Tupynambas
25 Sept
Inter de Minas
3 : 2
Tres Coracoes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santarritense 8 4 3 1 9:4 15
2 Varginha 8 4 2 2 18:13 14
3 Pocos de Caldas 8 3 5 0 14:5 14
4 Tres Coracoes 8 3 1 4 9:15 10
5 Figueirense Esporte Clube 8 0 1 7 6:19 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uberaba 8 5 1 2 25:7 16
2 Araxa 8 4 2 2 17:7 14
3 Patrocinense 8 3 2 3 10:11 11
4 Inter de Minas 8 2 5 1 7:6 11
5 Araguari 8 0 2 6 2:30 2
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America TO 8 4 3 1 10:5 15
2 Manchester Futebol 8 4 2 2 10:5 14
3 Contagem 8 4 1 3 8:5 13
4 Boston City 8 4 1 3 11:7 13
5 Betis 8 0 1 7 3:20 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)