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Varhaug vs Flekkeroy

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Dalbye T.
50' Event
Loge S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 3 - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Varhaug
15%
Draws
21%
Flekkeroy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Varhaug

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Flekkeroy lately — more wins on the board than Varhaug.
  • Model gives Varhaug a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Varhaug Clean Sheet 14%
Flekkeroy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varhaug Flekkeroy
Matches Played 22 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.68 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.77 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Varhaug vs Flekkeroy
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varhaug Compare

Top Goalscorer Dalbye T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Flekkeroy Compare

Top Goalscorer Loge S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varhaug 48 / 100
Flekkeroy 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varhaug Flekkeroy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varhaug Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Flekkeroy conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Varhaug scored in 73% of their last 22 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Varhaug stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Varhaug VS Flekkeroy
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Varhaug

(Home)
14 Sept
Viking 2
4 : 0
Varhaug
05 Sept
Varhaug
3 : 0
Brodd
30 Aug
Mandalskameratene
0 : 2
Varhaug
26 Aug
Varhaug
2 : 3
Sandnes Ulf
17 Aug
Varhaug
2 : 0
Stabaek 2
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Flekkeroy

(Away)
12 Sept
Mandalskameratene
3 : 1
Flekkeroy
05 Sept
Flekkeroy
0 : 2
Madla IL
30 Aug
Akra
1 : 4
Flekkeroy
22 Aug
Vindbjart
2 : 1
Flekkeroy
15 Aug
Flekkeroy
0 : 1
Brodd
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