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Varmbols vs Nordic United

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2022 game between Varmbols and Nordic United finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varmbols.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Varmbols
35%
Draws
65%
Nordic United
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nordic United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Nordic United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Nordic United are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Varmbols Clean Sheet 16%
Nordic United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varmbols Nordic United
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 3 13
Draws 2 8
Losses 25 6
Goals Scored 0.83 1.96
Goals Conceded 3.03 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2022 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Varmbols vs Nordic United
3:2
May 1, 2022 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nordic United vs Varmbols
2:1
Oct 2, 2021 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nordic United vs Varmbols
5:2
Sep 25, 2021 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Varmbols vs Nordic United
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varmbols 10 / 100
Nordic United 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varmbols Nordic United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.25 goals per match.

Nordic United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Attacking prowess: Varmbols scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Nordic United
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Varmbols

(Home)
16 Oct
Varmbols
0 : 3
Syrianska
08 Oct
Arameisk-Syrianska
3 : 0
Varmbols
02 Oct
Varmbols
0 : 2
Trosa-Vagnharads SK
25 Sept
Varmbols
1 : 2
IFK Eskilstuna
18 Sept
Assyriska FF
3 : 0
Varmbols
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Nordic United

(Away)
08 Aug
Falkenberg
1 : 1
Nordic United
02 Aug
Nordic United
2 : 2
Ljungskile
28 Jul
Helsingborg
1 : 1
Nordic United
19 Jul
Nordic United
2 : 0
Orebro
27 Jun
Nordic United
3 : 3
Oddevold
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nordic United 26 19 2 5 62:35 59
2 Assyriska FF 26 17 7 2 62:21 58
3 Syrianska 26 15 6 5 65:39 51
4 Nykopings 26 15 5 6 56:28 50
5 Huddinge 26 12 6 8 55:37 42
6 Smedby 26 13 1 12 56:51 40
7 Sleipner 26 12 4 10 46:46 40
8 Karlbergs 26 11 6 9 45:34 39
9 Enskede 26 10 4 12 41:47 34
10 IFK Eskilstuna 26 9 4 13 42:59 31
11 Arameisk-Syrianska 26 7 4 15 32:54 25
12 Lidingo IFK 26 5 6 15 46:56 21
13 Trosa-Vagnharads SK 26 2 9 15 28:71 15
14 Varmbols 26 2 2 22 19:77 8
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2022 (Relegation)