Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Varnamo vs Helsingborg

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Finnvedsvallen, Varnamo
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Andersson H.
29'
Sub
Voelkerling Persson J. In: Hyppanen L.
Out: Voelkerling Persson J.
34' Event
Sadiku L.
Assist: Svensson M.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Varnamo and Helsingborg finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Helsingborg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Varnamo
17%
Draws
70%
Helsingborg
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Helsingborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Helsingborg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Helsingborg are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Varnamo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Varnamo Clean Sheet 10%
Helsingborg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varnamo Helsingborg
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2026 Superettan
Varnamo vs Helsingborg
0:1
Mar 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Varnamo vs Helsingborg
3:1
Feb 25, 2024 Svenska Cupen
Helsingborg vs Varnamo
0:1
Sep 5, 2022 Allsvenskan
Varnamo vs Helsingborg
3:2
May 21, 2022 Allsvenskan
Helsingborg vs Varnamo
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varnamo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Helsingborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Sadiku L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varnamo 14 / 100
Helsingborg 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varnamo Helsingborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Helsingborg has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Varnamo scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Varnamo went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Varnamo VS Helsingborg
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Varnamo

(Home)
25 Jul
Varnamo
0 : 0
Brage
19 Jul
Varnamo
2 : 3
Ljungskile
13 Jul
Varnamo
0 : 2
Naestved IF
28 Jun
Landskrona
1 : 0
Varnamo
21 Jun
Brage
5 : 1
Varnamo
Page 1 of 6

Helsingborg

(Away)
28 Jul
Helsingborg
1 : 1
Nordic United
21 Jul
Falkenberg
2 : 3
Helsingborg
14 Jul
AB Copenhagen
2 : 0
Helsingborg
28 Jun
Sandviken
4 : 2
Helsingborg
21 Jun
Helsingborg
5 : 2
Sundsvall
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Norrkoping16102427:1032
2Falkenberg1694332:2431
3Varberg1693432:2230
4Ostersund1675426:2126
5Nordic United1675426:2326
6Oster1682627:2526
7Landskrona1674522:1725
8Helsingborg1673630:3224
9Ljungskile1664623:2122
10Oddevold1656528:2621
11Sandviken1654725:2519
12Norrby1639421:2318
13Brage1645728:2917
14Orebro1636713:2215
15Varnamo16321117:3411
16Sundsvall16301313:369
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)