Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Varnamo vs Helsingborg

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Finnvedsvallen, Varnamo
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Andersson H.
29'
Sub
Voelkerling Persson J. In: Hyppanen L.
Out: Voelkerling Persson J.
34' Event
Sadiku L.
Assist: Svensson M.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Varnamo and Helsingborg finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Helsingborg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Varnamo
30%
Draws
23%
Helsingborg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Varnamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Helsingborg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Varnamo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Varnamo Clean Sheet 20%
Helsingborg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varnamo Helsingborg
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.27 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Superettan
Helsingborg vs Varnamo
1:2
Jun 16, 2026 Superettan
Varnamo vs Helsingborg
0:1
Mar 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Varnamo vs Helsingborg
3:1
Feb 25, 2024 Svenska Cupen
Helsingborg vs Varnamo
0:1
Sep 5, 2022 Allsvenskan
Varnamo vs Helsingborg
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Varnamo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Helsingborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Sadiku L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varnamo 31 / 100
Helsingborg 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varnamo Helsingborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varnamo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Helsingborg has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Varnamo found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Varnamo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Varnamo VS Helsingborg
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Varnamo

(Home)
19 Sept
Oddevold
1 : 2
Varnamo
15 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 3
Oster
09 Sept
Nordic United
2 : 4
Varnamo
05 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 1
Varberg
29 Aug
Ljungskile
0 : 1
Varnamo
Page 1 of 6

Helsingborg

(Away)
20 Sept
Helsingborg
0 : 0
Norrby
14 Sept
Ostersund
1 : 0
Helsingborg
09 Sept
Landskrona
1 : 2
Helsingborg
05 Sept
Helsingborg
0 : 2
Sandviken
01 Sept
Helsingborg
1 : 1
Orebro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 25 17 4 4 48:16 55
2 Falkenberg 25 13 6 6 46:33 45
3 Varberg 25 13 5 7 44:33 44
4 Ostersund 25 11 10 4 33:24 43
5 Landskrona 25 11 7 7 39:26 40
6 Sandviken 25 10 7 8 43:33 37
7 Oddevold 25 9 9 7 38:34 36
8 Oster 25 11 3 11 38:38 36
9 Nordic United 25 9 9 7 38:40 36
10 Helsingborg 25 8 6 11 36:45 30
11 Varnamo 25 8 5 12 33:45 29
12 Ljungskile 25 6 7 12 31:38 25
13 Norrby 25 4 12 9 28:35 24
14 Orebro 25 5 9 11 27:39 24
15 Brage 25 5 8 12 39:48 23
16 Sundsvall 25 6 1 18 19:53 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)