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Varnamo vs Norrkoping - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Finnvedsvallen, Varnamo
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Varnamo host Norrkoping in the Superettan. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Varnamo have averaged 1.31 scored and 1.55 conceded recently, against Norrkoping's 1.86 scored and 0.66 conceded. Head-to-head, Varnamo have won 0 to Norrkoping's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 6:0. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.63, favoring Norrkoping. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Varnamo
20%
Draws
52%
Norrkoping
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Norrkoping

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Norrkoping have won more games recently than Varnamo.
  • Model gives Norrkoping a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Norrkoping have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Varnamo Clean Sheet 14%
Norrkoping Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varnamo Norrkoping
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 19
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.31 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.55 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Superettan
Norrkoping vs Varnamo
6:0
Jul 21, 2025 Allsvenskan
Norrkoping vs Varnamo
3:1
Apr 27, 2025 Allsvenskan
Varnamo vs Norrkoping
1:3
Jan 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Norrkoping vs Varnamo
1:0
Oct 27, 2024 Allsvenskan
Varnamo vs Norrkoping
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varnamo 10 / 100
Norrkoping 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varnamo Norrkoping

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Norrkoping Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Varnamo's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Norrkoping let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Varnamo remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Varnamo VS Norrkoping
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Varnamo

(Home)
24 Oct
Varnamo
0 : 1
Sandviken
18 Oct
Sundsvall
0 : 1
Varnamo
11 Oct
Varnamo
1 : 2
Falkenberg
19 Sept
Oddevold
1 : 2
Varnamo
15 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 3
Oster
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Norrkoping

(Away)
25 Oct
Norrby
0 : 4
Norrkoping
20 Oct
Norrkoping
2 : 2
Orebro
13 Oct
Norrkoping
4 : 0
Sundsvall
06 Oct
Norrkoping
0 : 0
Kalmar
19 Sept
Oster
1 : 3
Norrkoping
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 28 19 5 4 58:18 62
2 Falkenberg 28 15 6 7 52:38 51
3 Ostersund 28 12 12 4 38:26 48
4 Varberg 28 13 8 7 46:35 47
5 Landskrona 28 12 8 8 46:33 44
6 Oddevold 28 11 9 8 48:37 42
7 Oster 28 13 3 12 46:45 42
8 Sandviken 28 11 8 9 46:36 41
9 Nordic United 28 10 9 9 41:47 39
10 Helsingborg 28 8 8 12 37:48 32
11 Varnamo 28 9 5 14 35:48 32
12 Ljungskile 28 7 9 12 35:40 30
13 Orebro 28 6 11 11 31:42 29
14 Norrby 28 5 12 11 31:41 27
15 Brage 28 6 8 14 45:55 26
16 Sundsvall 28 6 1 21 19:65 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)