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Varnsdorf vs Horni Redice - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

3. CFL - Group B Mestsky stadion v Kotline, Varnsdorf
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Varnsdorf host Horni Redice in the 3. CFL - Group B. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Varnsdorf have averaged 2.03 scored and 1.4 conceded recently, against Horni Redice's 1.96 scored and 1.64 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.81 - 1.56) back Varnsdorf to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Varnsdorf
20%
Draws
30%
Horni Redice
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Varnsdorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Varnsdorf lately — more wins on the board than Horni Redice.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Varnsdorf Clean Sheet 15%
Horni Redice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varnsdorf Horni Redice
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 17 15
Draws 6 2
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.03 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varnsdorf 30 / 100
Horni Redice 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varnsdorf Horni Redice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varnsdorf Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Varnsdorf scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Horni Redice conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Varnsdorf remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Horni Redice's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Varnsdorf VS Horni Redice
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Varnsdorf

(Home)
17 Oct
Banik Most-Sous
1 : 0
Varnsdorf
11 Oct
Varnsdorf
2 : 1
Hradec Kralove B
07 Oct
Mlada Boleslav B
1 : 1
Varnsdorf
04 Oct
Varnsdorf
1 : 1
Liberec B
20 Sept
Varnsdorf
0 : 2
Jablonec B
Page 1 of 6

Horni Redice

(Away)
17 Oct
Chrudim
2 : 1
Horni Redice
10 Oct
Horni Redice
0 : 2
Benatky n. Jiz.
26 Sept
Horni Redice
4 : 1
Teplice B
20 Sept
Caslav
2 : 1
Horni Redice
12 Sept
Horni Redice
1 : 3
Brozany
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jablonec B 11 7 3 1 26:10 24
2 Zapy 11 7 3 1 27:14 24
3 Mlada Boleslav B 11 7 2 2 28:11 23
4 Benatky n. Jiz. 11 5 5 1 17:8 20
5 Pardubice B 10 5 2 3 22:11 17
6 Banik Most-Sous 11 5 1 5 18:11 16
7 Varnsdorf 10 4 3 3 15:15 15
8 Caslav 10 4 2 4 13:19 14
9 Teplice B 11 4 1 6 17:20 13
10 Chrudim 11 3 4 4 17:22 13
11 Neratovice 11 3 4 4 11:18 13
12 Hradec Kralove B 11 2 4 5 8:11 10
13 Horni Redice 9 3 0 6 9:18 9
14 Brozany 11 1 5 5 12:20 8
15 Liberec B 10 2 2 6 10:22 8
16 Velke Hamry 11 2 1 8 9:29 7
Promotion - 3. CFL - Group A (Play Offs)