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Varzim vs Vitoria Guimaraes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
90' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Varzim and Vitoria Guimaraes finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Varzim
20%
Draws
36%
Vitoria Guimaraes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Varzim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Varzim come out ahead of Vitoria Guimaraes on wins alone.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Varzim taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Varzim Clean Sheet 20%
Vitoria Guimaraes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varzim Vitoria Guimaraes
Matches Played 29 25
Wins 12 10
Draws 3 5
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.24 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Club Friendly
Varzim vs Vitoria Guimaraes
1:1
Jul 23, 2023 Club Friendly
Varzim vs Vitoria Guimaraes
3:2
Feb 4, 2007 Liga Portugal 2
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Varzim
0:0
Sep 10, 2006 Liga Portugal 2
Varzim vs Vitoria Guimaraes
2:1
Mar 17, 2003 Liga Portugal
Varzim vs Vitoria Guimaraes
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varzim 58 / 100
Vitoria Guimaraes 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varzim Vitoria Guimaraes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varzim Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varzim scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Vitoria Guimaraes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 25 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Varzim stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Varzim VS Vitoria Guimaraes
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Varzim

(Home)
19 Sept
Vitoria Sernache
2 : 1
Varzim
12 Sept
Varzim
1 : 2
SC Vianense
05 Sept
Varzim
0 : 1
Paredes
29 Aug
Varzim
5 : 1
Trofense
22 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 4
Varzim
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Vitoria Guimaraes

(Away)
25 Sept
Chaves
0 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes
20 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes
1 : 1
Moreirense
12 Sept
Academico Viseu
2 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes
06 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes
0 : 0
Casa Pia
31 Aug
Braga
1 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes
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