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Varzim W vs Condeixa W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2021/2022 Estádio do Varzim SC, Póvoa de Varzim
Varzim W Logo

Varzim W

2 - 1
FT
Condeixa W Logo

Condeixa W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Varzim W in this Liga BPI Women 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Varzim W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Varzim W
30%
Draws
31%
Condeixa W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Varzim W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Condeixa W have won more games recently than Varzim W.
  • Model gives Varzim W a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Varzim W Clean Sheet 10%
Condeixa W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varzim W Condeixa W
Matches Played 23 30
Wins 4 7
Draws 4 4
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 0.91 1.2
Goals Conceded 2.39 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2022 Liga BPI Women
Condeixa W vs Varzim W
2:2
Feb 5, 2022 Liga BPI Women
Varzim W vs Condeixa W
2:1
Nov 14, 2021 Liga BPI Women
Varzim W vs Condeixa W
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varzim W 56 / 100
Condeixa W 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varzim W Condeixa W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varzim W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Condeixa W has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Varzim W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Condeixa W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Varzim W VS Condeixa W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Varzim W

(Home)
05 Jun
Estoril Praia W
2 : 0
Varzim W
29 May
Varzim W
3 : 1
Estoril Praia W
22 May
Atletico CP W
3 : 0
Varzim W
15 May
Varzim W
4 : 4
Amora W
08 May
Condeixa W
2 : 2
Varzim W
Page 1 of 5

Condeixa W

(Away)
05 Jun
Condeixa W
0 : 2
Racing Power W
28 May
Racing Power W
1 : 0
Condeixa W
22 May
Amora W
5 : 2
Condeixa W
15 May
Condeixa W
2 : 1
Estoril Praia W
08 May
Condeixa W
2 : 2
Varzim W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amora W 14 12 1 1 53:22 37
2 Valadares Gaia W 14 11 1 2 33:10 34
3 Ouriense W 14 9 1 4 26:17 28
4 Condeixa W 14 6 2 6 28:21 20
5 Gil Vicente W 14 5 1 8 15:36 16
6 Estoril Praia W 14 2 4 8 10:17 10
7 Varzim W 14 2 3 9 15:29 9
8 Atletico CP W 14 2 1 11 17:45 7
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2021/2022 (Relegation)