Sport Picks

Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2021/2022 Estádio do Varzim SC

Famalicao W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Varzim W play Famalicao W in the Liga BPI Women 2021/2022. Famalicao W are favorites here. Recently, Varzim W averaged 0.91 goals scored and 2.39 conceded. Famalicao W averaged 1.52 goals scored and 2.16 conceded. In past meetings, Varzim W won 0, Famalicao W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 31, 2021 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.23 for Varzim W and 1.11 for Famalicao W. This points to a Famalicao W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%

Varzim W

15%

Draws

59%

Famalicao W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Famalicao W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Varzim W picked up more points recently compared to Famalicao W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.23 vs 1.11 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 85%

Over 2.5 Goals 71%

Over 3.5 Goals 43%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%

Varzim W Clean Sheet 21%

Famalicao W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Varzim W	Famalicao W
Matches Played	23	31
Wins	4	11
Draws	4	3
Losses	15	17
Goals Scored	0.91	1.52
Goals Conceded	2.39	2.16

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2021 Liga BPI Women

Varzim W vs Famalicao W

Possession: 42% - 43% Cards: 1 - 2

0:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varzim W 28 / 100

Famalicao W 55 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Varzim W Famalicao W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Famalicao W Win (2)

Secondary Pick Famalicao W & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +44.6%

5.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.3%

1.54

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Varzim W attacking → ← attacking Famalicao W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varzim W scored in 48% of their last 23 games.

Famalicao W let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Varzim W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Famalicao W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

16 Points in last 5 36

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Braga W	7	7	0	0	31:1	21
2	Famalicao W	7	5	1	1	22:3	16
3	Vilaverdense W	7	4	1	2	17:10	13
4	Albergaria/Durit W	7	2	2	3	5:9	8
5	Valadares Gaia W	7	1	4	2	11:13	7
6	Condeixa W	7	1	2	4	7:11	5
7	Varzim W	7	1	1	5	3:23	4
8	Gil Vicente W	7	1	1	5	3:29	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	SL Benfica W	7	6	0	1	32:11	18
2	Sporting W	7	5	2	0	24:2	17
3	Torreense W	7	3	3	1	14:6	12
4	Maritimo W	7	3	2	2	12:6	11
5	Amora W	7	3	2	2	12:16	11
6	Ouriense W	7	1	2	4	7:12	5
7	Estoril Praia W	7	0	2	5	2:19	2
8	Atletico CP W	7	0	1	6	2:33	1