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Varzim W vs Gil Vicente W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2021/2022 Estádio do Varzim SC
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AI Match Summary

Gil Vicente W in this Liga BPI Women 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gil Vicente W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Varzim W
28%
Draws
22%
Gil Vicente W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Varzim W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gil Vicente W lately — more wins on the board than Varzim W.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Varzim W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Gil Vicente W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Varzim W Clean Sheet 16%
Gil Vicente W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Varzim W Gil Vicente W
Matches Played 23 30
Wins 4 7
Draws 4 5
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.67 1
Goals Conceded 2 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2022 Liga BPI Women
Gil Vicente W vs Varzim W
2:1
Dec 19, 2021 Liga BPI Women
Varzim W vs Gil Vicente W
0:1
Oct 10, 2021 Liga BPI Women
Gil Vicente W vs Varzim W
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Varzim W 48 / 100
Gil Vicente W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Varzim W Gil Vicente W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gil Vicente W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Recent resilience: Varzim W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Gil Vicente W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Varzim W VS Gil Vicente W
1.67 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
83% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Amora W14121153:2237
2Valadares Gaia W14111233:1034
3Ouriense W1491426:1728
4Condeixa W1462628:2120
5Gil Vicente W1451815:3616
6Estoril Praia W1424810:1710
7Varzim W1423915:299
8Atletico CP W14211117:457