Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vasalund vs FBK Karlstad

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Skytteholms IP
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Bilgec B.
18' Event
Bertilsson A.
49' Event
Hana G.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Norra game between Vasalund and FBK Karlstad finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FBK Karlstad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Vasalund
20%
Draws
38%
FBK Karlstad
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vasalund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FBK Karlstad come out ahead of Vasalund on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Vasalund's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Vasalund Clean Sheet 12%
FBK Karlstad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasalund FBK Karlstad
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 11 16
Draws 6 3
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Vasalund vs FBK Karlstad
1:3
Sep 14, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
FBK Karlstad vs Vasalund
1:2
Jun 30, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Vasalund vs FBK Karlstad
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vasalund Compare

Top Goalscorer Bilgec B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

FBK Karlstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Hana G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bertilsson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasalund 40 / 100
FBK Karlstad 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasalund FBK Karlstad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasalund's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

FBK Karlstad let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: FBK Karlstad has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vasalund VS FBK Karlstad
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hammarby TFF14102238:1132
2Karlstad1493222:930
3FC Arlanda1485123:1029
4FC Stockholm Internazionale1483328:1427
5Enkopings SK1481524:2325
6FBK Karlstad1473423:2024
7AFC Eskilstuna1454523:2419
8Karlbergs1453623:2318
9Umea FC1444620:2416
10FC Jarfalla1443721:2715
11Vasalund1443720:3015
12Assyriska FF1435622:2914
13Gefle1442817:2914
14Sollentuna1427512:1913
15Pitea1423916:329
16IFK Stocksund1415828:368