Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vasalund vs Gefle

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Skytteholms IP
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vasalund play Gefle in the Division 1 - Norra. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vasalund averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Gefle averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. In past meetings, Vasalund won 4, Gefle won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 14, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Vasalund and 1.25 for Gefle. This points to a Vasalund double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Vasalund
39%
Draws
31%
Gefle
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Vasalund has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Gefle.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division 1 - Norra provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Vasalund Clean Sheet 19%
Gefle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasalund Gefle
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 3
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Vasalund vs Gefle
1:0
Aug 10, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Vasalund vs Gefle
4:1
Apr 18, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Gefle vs Vasalund
1:2
Mar 9, 2024 Club Friendly
Gefle vs Vasalund
3:0
Mar 18, 2023 Club Friendly
Gefle vs Vasalund
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vasalund Compare

Top Goalscorer Mac Callum E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Gefle Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasalund 31 / 100
Gefle 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasalund Gefle

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasalund scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Gefle let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Vasalund went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Gefle lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vasalund VS Gefle
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hammarby TFF14102238:1132
2Karlstad1493222:930
3FC Arlanda1485123:1029
4FC Stockholm Internazionale1483328:1427
5Enkopings SK1481524:2325
6FBK Karlstad1473423:2024
7AFC Eskilstuna1454523:2419
8Karlbergs1453623:2318
9Umea FC1444620:2416
10FC Jarfalla1443721:2715
11Vasalund1443720:3015
12Assyriska FF1435622:2914
13Gefle1442817:2914
14Sollentuna1427512:1913
15Pitea1423916:329
16IFK Stocksund1415828:368