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Vasalund vs Karlbergs

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vasalund play Karlbergs in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vasalund averaged 1.71 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. Karlbergs averaged 1.86 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. In past meetings, Vasalund won 2, Karlbergs won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 18, 2026 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Vasalund and 1.31 for Karlbergs. This points to a Vasalund double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vasalund
23%
Draws
37%
Karlbergs
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Vasalund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Vasalund picked up more points recently compared to Karlbergs.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Vasalund Clean Sheet 18%
Karlbergs Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasalund Karlbergs
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.71 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Vasalund vs Karlbergs
0:4
Feb 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Vasalund vs Karlbergs
3:2
Oct 11, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Karlbergs vs Vasalund
0:0
Mar 30, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Vasalund vs Karlbergs
2:0
Oct 14, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Karlbergs vs Vasalund
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasalund 40 / 100
Karlbergs 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasalund Karlbergs

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Vasalund or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vasalund attacking → ← attacking Karlbergs

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasalund scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Karlbergs let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Vasalund went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Karlbergs lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 40
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50