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Vasalund vs Karlbergs

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Club Friendly
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Match Events

10' Event
18' Event
32' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Vasalund and Karlbergs finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vasalund.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vasalund
20%
Draws
40%
Karlbergs
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Karlbergs carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Vasalund a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Vasalund Clean Sheet 16%
Karlbergs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasalund Karlbergs
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.39 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Vasalund vs Karlbergs
0:4
Feb 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Vasalund vs Karlbergs
3:2
Oct 11, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Karlbergs vs Vasalund
0:0
Mar 30, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Vasalund vs Karlbergs
2:0
Oct 14, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Karlbergs vs Vasalund
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasalund 57 / 100
Karlbergs 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasalund Karlbergs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasalund Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasalund found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Karlbergs has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Karlbergs's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vasalund VS Karlbergs
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasalund

(Home)
27 Sept
Gefle
0 : 1
Vasalund
21 Sept
Vasalund
1 : 5
Assyriska FF
17 Sept
Vasalund
0 : 0
Hammarby TFF
12 Sept
FBK Karlstad
2 : 1
Vasalund
06 Sept
Vasalund
2 : 3
Enkopings SK
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Karlbergs

(Away)
27 Sept
Karlstad
1 : 1
Karlbergs
20 Sept
Karlbergs
0 : 2
FC Stockholm Internazionale
17 Sept
FC Jarfalla
5 : 0
Karlbergs
12 Sept
Karlbergs
1 : 0
FC Arlanda
06 Sept
Pitea
3 : 0
Karlbergs
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