Sport Picks

Brazil

Acreano 2025

Rio Branco AC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vasco da Gama AC play Rio Branco AC in the Acreano 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vasco da Gama AC averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. Rio Branco AC averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.58 conceded. In past meetings, Vasco da Gama AC won 0, Rio Branco AC won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jan 17, 2026 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Vasco da Gama AC and 2.25 for Rio Branco AC. This points to a Rio Branco AC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

Vasco da Gama AC

27%

Draws

38%

Rio Branco AC

Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Rio Branco AC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Vasco da Gama AC picked up more points recently compared to Rio Branco AC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 2.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 89%

Over 2.5 Goals 65%

Over 3.5 Goals 39%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%

Vasco da Gama AC Clean Sheet 10%

Rio Branco AC Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 80%

Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vasco da Gama AC	Rio Branco AC
Matches Played	30	36
Wins	11	13
Draws	6	8
Losses	13	15
Goals Scored	1.73	1.47
Goals Conceded	1.93	1.58
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Acreano

Vasco da Gama AC vs Rio Branco AC

Possession: 57% - 57% Cards: 0 - 1

2:3

Mar 15, 2025 Acreano

Vasco da Gama AC vs Rio Branco AC

Possession: 48% - 59% Cards: 1 - 2

3:3

Apr 15, 2024 Acreano

Rio Branco AC vs Vasco da Gama AC

Possession: 52% - 50% Cards: 1 - 2

3:3

Mar 10, 2024 Acreano

Rio Branco AC vs Vasco da Gama AC

Possession: 49% - 47% Cards: 2 - 1

2:0

Mar 9, 2022 Acreano

Rio Branco AC vs Vasco da Gama AC

Possession: 57% - 53% Cards: 2 - 3

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vasco da Gama AC Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Gabriel

2 Goals

Assists Leader Digreg

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Rio Branco AC Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Cassiano

2 Goals

Assists Leader dos Santos E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.39

Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco da Gama AC 34 / 100

Rio Branco AC 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vasco da Gama AC Rio Branco AC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Rio Branco AC or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +29.5%

3.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.69

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vasco da Gama AC attacking → ← attacking Rio Branco AC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasco da Gama AC scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Rio Branco AC let in goals in 81% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Vasco da Gama AC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Rio Branco AC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 47

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.63

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vasco da Gama AC	7	5	2	0	13:5	17
2	Senador Guiomard	7	4	2	1	13:8	14
3	Independencia Futebol Clube	7	3	3	1	12:4	12
4	Galvez	7	3	2	2	14:9	11
5	SC Humaita	7	2	4	1	12:8	10
6	Rio Branco AC	7	2	1	4	13:16	7
7	Sao Francisco FC (AC)	7	1	0	6	3:16	3
8	Placido de Castro	7	0	2	5	8:22	-1