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Vasco da Gama AC vs Senador Guiomard

Brazil Brazil

Acreano
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Leozinho
42' Event
Breno
52'
Breno

AI Match Summary

The Acreano game between Vasco da Gama AC and Senador Guiomard finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vasco da Gama AC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Vasco da Gama AC
40%
Draws
29%
Senador Guiomard
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vasco da Gama AC come out ahead of Senador Guiomard on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Vasco da Gama AC Clean Sheet 20%
Senador Guiomard Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco da Gama AC Senador Guiomard
Matches Played 35 33
Wins 13 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2026 Acreano
Vasco da Gama AC vs Senador Guiomard
3:1
Mar 8, 2025 Acreano
Senador Guiomard vs Vasco da Gama AC
0:2
Mar 19, 2024 Acreano
Vasco da Gama AC vs Senador Guiomard
2:1
Mar 17, 2022 Acreano
Senador Guiomard vs Vasco da Gama AC
2:0
Mar 14, 2010 Acreano
Senador Guiomard vs Vasco da Gama AC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vasco da Gama AC Compare

Top Goalscorer Leozinho
2 Goals
Assists Leader Derreis
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Senador Guiomard Compare

Top Goalscorer Breno
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco da Gama AC 32 / 100
Senador Guiomard 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco da Gama AC Senador Guiomard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasco da Gama AC's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Defensive concern: Senador Guiomard conceded in 76% of 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Senador Guiomard registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vasco da Gama AC VS Senador Guiomard
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Galvez751115:616
2SC Humaita743015:315
3Santa Cruz AC741215:713
4Rio Branco AC741214:913
5Independencia Futebol Clube72149:117
6Senador Guiomard71247:125
7Sao Francisco FC (AC)71154:264
8Vasco da Gama AC712410:15-1