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Vasco U20 vs America MG U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U20
Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Pedro Ribeiro
45' Event
Melim L.
61' Event
Augusto Silva Ferreira P.

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro U20 game between Vasco U20 and America MG U20 finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vasco U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Vasco U20
6%
Draws
4%
America MG U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Vasco U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vasco U20 come out ahead of America MG U20 on wins alone.
  • Vasco U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Vasco U20 Clean Sheet 16%
America MG U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco U20 America MG U20
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 18 12
Draws 3 10
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 0.88 2
Goals Conceded 1 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Vasco U20 vs America MG U20
4:0
Nov 5, 2025 Copa do Brasil U20
Vasco U20 vs America MG U20
3:2
Oct 29, 2025 Copa do Brasil U20
America MG U20 vs Vasco U20
2:0
Mar 12, 2025 Brasileiro U20
America MG U20 vs Vasco U20
1:1
Aug 21, 2021 Brasileiro U20
America MG U20 vs Vasco U20
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vasco U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Augusto Silva Ferreira P.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Melim L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

America MG U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco U20 84 / 100
America MG U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco U20 America MG U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vasco U20 scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

America MG U20 let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

America MG U20's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vasco U20 VS America MG U20
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras U2019135154:2344
2Vasco U2019113536:1936
3Botafogo RJ U2019113532:2036
4Bragantino U2019104549:3534
5Athletico-PR U201995539:2532
6Santos U201994629:2431
7Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U201985635:2729
8Corinthians U201985631:2529
9Bahia U201985632:3029
10Flamengo RJ U201977528:2928
11Sao Paulo U201967627:2625
12America MG U201967625:3725
13Cuiaba U2019631019:2721
14Vitoria U201955920:3120
15Gremio U2019611231:4219
16Fluminense U2019541025:3119
17EC Juventude U2019531120:3918
18Criciuma U2019521224:4017
19Avai U201937924:4316
20Fortaleza U201929818:2515