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Vasco U20 vs Botafogo RJ U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca U20
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Gustavo Guimaraes
58' Event
Zuccarello L.
88' Event
Andrey Fernandes

AI Match Summary

The Carioca U20 game between Vasco U20 and Botafogo RJ U20 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vasco U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Vasco U20
15%
Draws
40%
Botafogo RJ U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vasco U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Botafogo RJ U20 haven't matched Vasco U20's recent run of results.
  • Vasco U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Carioca U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Vasco U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Botafogo RJ U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco U20 Botafogo RJ U20
Matches Played 45 41
Wins 31 27
Draws 5 5
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.96 1.95
Goals Conceded 0.71 0.98
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Carioca U20
Vasco U20 vs Botafogo RJ U20
3:0
Apr 29, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Vasco U20 vs Botafogo RJ U20
1:0
Nov 22, 2025 Carioca U20
Vasco U20 vs Botafogo RJ U20
0:1
Nov 15, 2025 Carioca U20
Botafogo RJ U20 vs Vasco U20
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 Carioca U20
Botafogo RJ U20 vs Vasco U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vasco U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo Guimaraes
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zuccarello L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Botafogo RJ U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco U20 85 / 100
Botafogo RJ U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco U20 Botafogo RJ U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasco U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasco U20 found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (45 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Vasco U20 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Botafogo RJ U20 conceded in 59% of 41 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Vasco U20 VS Botafogo RJ U20
3.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasco U20

(Home)
08 Oct
Flamengo RJ U20
3 : 2
Vasco U20
03 Oct
Fluminense U20
1 : 1
Vasco U20
30 Sept
Madureira U20
0 : 1
Vasco U20
26 Sept
Vasco U20
3 : 0
Botafogo RJ U20
19 Sept
Volta Redonda U20
1 : 2
Vasco U20
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Botafogo RJ U20

(Away)
10 Oct
Portuguesa RJ U20
1 : 2
Botafogo RJ U20
08 Oct
Botafogo RJ U20
1 : 0
Bahia U20
03 Oct
Botafogo RJ U20
4 : 1
Marica U20
26 Sept
Vasco U20
3 : 0
Botafogo RJ U20
19 Sept
Botafogo RJ U20
0 : 1
Flamengo RJ U20
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense U20 10 8 2 0 26:7 26
2 Flamengo RJ U20 9 8 0 1 25:8 24
3 Vasco U20 9 7 1 1 17:6 22
4 Botafogo RJ U20 9 5 1 3 17:12 16
5 Sampaio Correa FE U20 10 4 3 3 13:18 15
6 Bangu U20 9 3 2 4 11:12 11
7 Nova Iguacu U20 10 2 4 4 11:17 10
8 Madureira U20 10 1 7 2 11:14 10
9 Marica U20 10 2 2 6 11:18 8
10 Boavista U20 10 2 2 6 12:21 8
11 Portuguesa RJ U20 10 1 2 7 7:16 5
12 Volta Redonda U20 10 1 2 7 7:19 5
Promotion - Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara - Play Offs)