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Vasco U20 vs Madureira U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca U20
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Vasco U20 have averaged 1.97 scored and 0.64 conceded recently, against Madureira U20's 1.14 scored and 1.52 conceded. Head-to-head, Vasco U20 have won 5 to Madureira U20's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 30, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 2.38 vs 0.81, favoring Vasco U20. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Vasco U20
35%
Draws
19%
Madureira U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vasco U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vasco U20 lately — more wins on the board than Madureira U20.
  • Model gives Vasco U20 a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Vasco U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vasco U20, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Vasco U20 have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Vasco U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Madureira U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco U20 Madureira U20
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 25 8
Draws 3 11
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.97 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.64 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2026 Carioca U20
Madureira U20 vs Vasco U20
0:1
Mar 25, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Vasco U20 vs Madureira U20
3:0
Sep 13, 2025 Carioca U20
Vasco U20 vs Madureira U20
2:1
Jun 15, 2024 Carioca U20
Vasco U20 vs Madureira U20
2:1
Mar 29, 2024 Copa Rio U20
Vasco U20 vs Madureira U20
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco U20 85 / 100
Madureira U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco U20 Madureira U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasco U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasco U20 scored in 86% of their last 36 games.

Madureira U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Vasco U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vasco U20 VS Madureira U20
3.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasco U20

(Home)
17 Oct
Vasco U20
3 : 0
Sampaio Correa FE U20
11 Oct
Vasco U20
4 : 0
Flamengo RJ U20
08 Oct
Flamengo RJ U20
3 : 2
Vasco U20
03 Oct
Fluminense U20
1 : 1
Vasco U20
30 Sept
Madureira U20
0 : 1
Vasco U20
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Madureira U20

(Away)
17 Oct
Bangu U20
2 : 2
Madureira U20
10 Oct
Sampaio Correa FE U20
1 : 1
Madureira U20
03 Oct
Madureira U20
1 : 1
Boavista U20
30 Sept
Madureira U20
0 : 1
Vasco U20
27 Sept
Nova Iguacu U20
2 : 2
Madureira U20
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Fluminense U20 -
Nova Iguacu U20 -
Botafogo RJ U20 -
Bangu U20 -
Vasco U20 -
Madureira U20 -
Flamengo RJ U20 -
Sampaio Correa FE U20 -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -