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Vasco U20 vs Santos U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U20 Sao Januário, Rio de Janeiro
Thu, Jul 30, 2026
VS
09:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Brasileiro U20. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Vasco U20 at 0.63 goals for, 1 against; Santos U20 at 1.88 for, 1 against. Head-to-head, Vasco U20 have won 4 to Santos U20's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 22, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 1.44, favoring Vasco U20. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Vasco U20
44%
Draws
20%
Santos U20
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Vasco U20 have won more games recently than Santos U20.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Vasco U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vasco U20, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Vasco U20 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Vasco U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Santos U20 Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco U20 Santos U20
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 15
Draws 3 6
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 0.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Santos U20 vs Vasco U20
2:0
May 7, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Vasco U20 vs Santos U20
3:1
May 21, 2025 Brasileiro U20
Santos U20 vs Vasco U20
1:2
Jun 18, 2022 Brasileiro U20
Vasco U20 vs Santos U20
2:0
Oct 12, 2021 Brasileiro U20
Santos U20 vs Vasco U20
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco U20 36 / 100
Santos U20 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco U20 Santos U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasco U20 scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Santos U20 let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Vasco U20 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vasco U20 VS Santos U20
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasco U20

(Home)
22 Jul
Santos U20
2 : 0
Vasco U20
14 Jul
Vasco U20
2 : 0
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
08 Jul
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
1 : 0
Vasco U20
01 Jul
Fortaleza U20
1 : 1
Vasco U20
25 Jun
Vasco U20
1 : 2
Criciuma U20
Page 1 of 6

Santos U20

(Away)
26 Jul
Santos U20
1 : 2
Portuguesa U20
22 Jul
Santos U20
2 : 0
Vasco U20
18 Jul
Ferroviaria U20
1 : 2
Santos U20
16 Jul
Botafogo RJ U20
1 : 0
Santos U20
11 Jul
Santos U20
6 : 0
Uniao Suzano U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Palmeiras U204
Corinthians U201
Bragantino U204
Athletico-PR U201
Vasco U202
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U201
Botafogo RJ U202
Santos U204
Semi-finals
Palmeiras U203
Bragantino U203
Vasco U200
Santos U202
Final
TBD-
TBD-