Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vasco U20 vs Santos U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U20 Sao Januário, Rio de Janeiro
Vasco U20 Logo

Vasco U20

Thu, Jul 30, 2026
3 - 0
09:30 PM
Santos U20 Logo

Santos U20

Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Andrey Fernandes
29'
Nadson
35' Event
Andrey Fernandes
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Vasco U20
15%
Draws
42%
Santos U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vasco U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Vasco U20 have won more games recently than Santos U20.
  • Vasco U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Vasco U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vasco U20, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Vasco U20 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Vasco U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Santos U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco U20 Santos U20
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 17
Draws 3 5
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.87 1.97
Goals Conceded 0.73 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Vasco U20 vs Santos U20
3:0
Jul 22, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Santos U20 vs Vasco U20
2:0
May 7, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Vasco U20 vs Santos U20
3:1
May 21, 2025 Brasileiro U20
Santos U20 vs Vasco U20
1:2
Jun 18, 2022 Brasileiro U20
Vasco U20 vs Santos U20
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vasco U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrey Fernandes
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Santos U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco U20 95 / 100
Santos U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco U20 Santos U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasco U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasco U20 scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Vasco U20 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Santos U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vasco U20 VS Santos U20
1.88 Goals Scored 2.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasco U20

(Home)
19 Sept
Volta Redonda U20
1 : 2
Vasco U20
17 Sept
Vasco U20
11 : 0
Rio Branco ES U20
12 Sept
Vasco U20
3 : 0
Bangu U20
09 Sept
Vasco U20
2 : 1
Boavista U20
04 Sept
Palmeiras U20
0 : 2
Vasco U20
Page 1 of 6

Santos U20

(Away)
12 Sept
Santos U20
2 : 0
Mirassol U20
10 Sept
Santos U20
2 : 1
Cuiaba U20
04 Sept
Portuguesa Santista U20
0 : 1
Santos U20
21 Aug
Santos U20
7 : 0
America SP U20
14 Aug
Itapirense U20
0 : 1
Santos U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Palmeiras U20 4
Corinthians U20 1
Bragantino U20 4
Athletico-PR U20 1
Vasco U20 2
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 1
Botafogo RJ U20 2
Santos U20 4
Semi-finals
Palmeiras U20 5
Bragantino U20 3
Vasco U20 3
Santos U20 2
Final
Palmeiras U20 1
Vasco U20 2