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Vasco W vs Botafogo RJ W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio Women
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Gonzalez L.
41' Event
Shasha
79' Event
Gonzalez L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Vasco W
15%
Draws
0%
Botafogo RJ W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vasco W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Botafogo RJ W haven't matched Vasco W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Vasco W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Vasco W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Botafogo RJ W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Vasco W Clean Sheet 68%
Botafogo RJ W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco W Botafogo RJ W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 22 5
Draws 3 6
Losses 6 19
Goals Scored 2.81 1.67
Goals Conceded 1 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Copa Rio Women
Vasco W vs Botafogo RJ W
2:1
Oct 4, 2025 Carioca Women
Vasco W vs Botafogo RJ W
0:5
May 4, 2025 Brasileiro A2 Women
Vasco W vs Botafogo RJ W
0:1
Mar 22, 2025 Copa Rio Women
Vasco W vs Botafogo RJ W
0:2
Mar 1, 2025 Copa Rio Women
Botafogo RJ W vs Vasco W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vasco W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Botafogo RJ W Compare

Top Goalscorer Shasha
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco W 95 / 100
Botafogo RJ W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco W Botafogo RJ W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasco W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasco W scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Botafogo RJ W has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Botafogo RJ W's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Vasco W VS Botafogo RJ W
2 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasco W

(Home)
20 Sept
Vasco W
1 : 2
Itabirito W
13 Sept
Itabirito W
1 : 3
Vasco W
08 Sept
Vasco W
4 : 0
Atletico-PI W
29 Aug
Atletico-PI W
1 : 4
Vasco W
22 Aug
Vasco W
2 : 1
Taubate W
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Botafogo RJ W

(Away)
22 Aug
Gremio W
1 : 0
Botafogo RJ W
16 Aug
Botafogo RJ W
1 : 5
Sao Paulo W
10 Aug
Botafogo RJ W
1 : 2
Fluminense W
01 Aug
Cruzeiro W
4 : 0
Botafogo RJ W
27 Jul
Bahia W
2 : 1
Botafogo RJ W
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