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Vasco W vs CEAC/Araruama W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca Women
Vasco W Logo

Vasco W

Wed, Nov 11, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
CEAC/Araruama W Logo

CEAC/Araruama W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vasco W host CEAC/Araruama W in the Carioca Women. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Vasco W have averaged 3.03 scored and 0.73 conceded recently, against CEAC/Araruama W's 2 scored and 1.8 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.76 - 1.39) back Vasco W to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Vasco W
15%
Draws
36%
CEAC/Araruama W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vasco W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Vasco W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Vasco W a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Carioca Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Vasco W Clean Sheet 17%
CEAC/Araruama W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vasco W CEAC/Araruama W
Matches Played 30 10
Wins 24 4
Draws 2 1
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 3.03 2
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.76 1.39
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vasco W 41 / 100
CEAC/Araruama W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vasco W CEAC/Araruama W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vasco W scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

CEAC/Araruama W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 10 matches.

Solid form: Vasco W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

CEAC/Araruama W's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vasco W VS CEAC/Araruama W
2.38 Goals Scored 2.14
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.14
88% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Vasco W

(Home)
20 Sept
Vasco W
1 : 2
Itabirito W
13 Sept
Itabirito W
1 : 3
Vasco W
08 Sept
Vasco W
4 : 0
Atletico-PI W
29 Aug
Atletico-PI W
1 : 4
Vasco W
22 Aug
Vasco W
2 : 1
Taubate W
Page 1 of 6

CEAC/Araruama W

(Away)
21 Oct
Cabofriense W
1 : 5
CEAC/Araruama W
17 Oct
CEAC/Araruama W
3 : 0
Buzios W
14 Oct
Perolas Negras W
5 : 0
CEAC/Araruama W
10 Oct
CEAC/Araruama W
1 : 2
Heips W
26 Oct
Olaria W
0 : 5
CEAC/Araruama W
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vasco W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Botafogo RJ W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 CR Flamengo W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Fluminense W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 CEAC/Araruama W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Heips W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Carioca Women (Play Offs)